Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Skofja Loka vs Nafta

Slovenia Slovenia

Slovenian Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Jasaragic A.
45' Event
Gorenc Stankovic T.
60' Event
Jasaragic A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-6, with Nafta advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Skofja Loka
20%
Draws
34%
Nafta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Skofja Loka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Nafta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Nafta arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nafta, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Skofja Loka Clean Sheet 10%
Nafta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skofja Loka Nafta
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.52 1.63
Goals Conceded 2 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2025 Slovenian Cup
Skofja Loka vs Nafta
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skofja Loka Compare

Top Goalscorer Alhassan N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Nafta Compare

Top Goalscorer Jasaragic A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gorenc Stankovic T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skofja Loka 30 / 100
Nafta 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skofja Loka Nafta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skofja Loka's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Nafta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Skofja Loka has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Skofja Loka VS Nafta
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Skofja Loka

(Home)
03 Oct
Skofja Loka
3 : 1
Rudar Trbovlje
27 Sept
Izola
6 : 0
Skofja Loka
20 Sept
Skofja Loka
1 : 1
Ziri
12 Sept
Skofja Loka
3 : 2
IB 1975 Ljubljana
05 Sept
Tolmin
2 : 2
Skofja Loka
Page 1 of 6

Nafta

(Away)
19 Sept
Koper
2 : 0
Nafta
11 Sept
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Nafta
04 Sept
Nafta
3 : 1
Radomlje
30 Aug
Nafta
2 : 3
Maribor
21 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 0
Nafta
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tromejnik Montpreis 0
Jadran Dekani 3
Malecnik 2
Kamnik 1
Beltinci 1
Radomlje 3
Tabor Sezana 1
Primorje 4
Grosuplje 2
Maribor 1
Stojnci 0
Bistrica 18
Sencur 1
O. Ljubljana 2
Makole Bar Miha 0
Celje 4
Fama Vipava 1
Bravo 2
Ljutomer 0
Rudar 3
Dravinja 1
Mura 2
Skofja Loka 1
Nafta 6
Odranci 2
Fuzinar 4
Race 2
NK Krka 1
Ziri 1
Aluminij 6
NK Polana 1
Zavrc 0
1/8-finals
Jadran Dekani 2
Malecnik 0
Radomlje 3
Primorje 2
Grosuplje 2
Bistrica 1
O. Ljubljana 1
Celje 0
Bravo 2
Rudar 0
Mura 1
Nafta 2
Fuzinar 5
Race 0
Aluminij 7
NK Polana 1
Quarter-finals
Jadran Dekani 2
Radomlje 4
Grosuplje 1
O. Ljubljana 0
Bravo 2
Nafta 0
Fuzinar 0
Aluminij 4
Semi-finals
Radomlje 0
Grosuplje 1
Bravo 0
Aluminij 1
Final
Grosuplje 0
Aluminij 1