Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Skuri Tsalenjikha vs Algeti Marneuli

Georgia Georgia

Pirveli Liga 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Skuri Tsalenjikha play Algeti Marneuli in the Pirveli Liga 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Skuri Tsalenjikha averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Algeti Marneuli averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Skuri Tsalenjikha won 3, Algeti Marneuli won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 7, 2017 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.77 for Skuri Tsalenjikha and 2.17 for Algeti Marneuli. This points to a Algeti Marneuli double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Skuri Tsalenjikha
21%
Draws
40%
Algeti Marneuli
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Algeti Marneuli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Skuri Tsalenjikha picked up more points recently compared to Algeti Marneuli.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.77 vs 2.17 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Skuri Tsalenjikha Clean Sheet 10%
Algeti Marneuli Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skuri Tsalenjikha Algeti Marneuli
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 5
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.13 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.33 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2017 Liga 3
Skuri Tsalenjikha vs Algeti Marneuli
2:0
Sep 25, 2017 Liga 3
Algeti Marneuli vs Skuri Tsalenjikha
2:1
Mar 10, 2016 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Skuri Tsalenjikha vs Algeti Marneuli
1:1
Sep 19, 2015 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Algeti Marneuli vs Skuri Tsalenjikha
0:1
May 19, 2015 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Skuri Tsalenjikha vs Algeti Marneuli
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skuri Tsalenjikha 37 / 100
Algeti Marneuli 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skuri Tsalenjikha Algeti Marneuli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Algeti Marneuli or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Skuri Tsalenjikha attacking → ← attacking Algeti Marneuli

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skuri Tsalenjikha scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Algeti Marneuli let in goals in 83% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Skuri Tsalenjikha went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Algeti Marneuli lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 44
1.67 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
3.33 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Iberia 199936283592:2587
2Locomotive Tbilisi362151087:4268
3Odishi 1919362061069:4166
4Samgurali361931476:5060
5Chiatura361731653:5254
6Matchakhela361431948:6645
7Sasco Tbilisi361191661:6742
8Chkherimela361242035:7140
9STU Tbilisi361122347:9735
10Adeli Batumi36642637:9422
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sapovnela Terjola36238564:2877
2Borjomi361661440:4354
3Gagra361561559:4451
4Betlemi Keda361471551:5049
5FC Ozurgeti361391445:6848
6Algeti Marneuli3612111347:3947
7Meshakhte Tkibuli361451757:5547
8Khobi3612111346:4847
9Skuri Tsalenjikha3611131247:5546
10Dinamo Tbilisi 236962142:6833