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SL Benfica W vs Valadares Gaia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women Caixa Futebol Campus, Seixal
Sun, Dec 20, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SL Benfica W host Valadares Gaia W in the Liga BPI Women. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: SL Benfica W at 2.71 goals for, 0.8 against; Valadares Gaia W at 1.17 for, 1.17 against. Past meetings favor SL Benfica W slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 0.50, favoring SL Benfica W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
SL Benfica W
15%
Draws
21%
Valadares Gaia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SL Benfica W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SL Benfica W come out ahead of Valadares Gaia W on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on SL Benfica W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
SL Benfica W Clean Sheet 20%
Valadares Gaia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SL Benfica W Valadares Gaia W
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 27 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2.71 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Liga BPI Women
SL Benfica W vs Valadares Gaia W
2:2
Jan 31, 2026 Taça da Liga Women
SL Benfica W vs Valadares Gaia W
1:0
Oct 12, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs SL Benfica W
1:4
Apr 27, 2025 Taça de Portugal Women
Valadares Gaia W vs SL Benfica W
0:1
Apr 19, 2025 Taça de Portugal Women
SL Benfica W vs Valadares Gaia W
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SL Benfica W 85 / 100
Valadares Gaia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SL Benfica W Valadares Gaia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SL Benfica W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SL Benfica W scored in 91% of their last 35 games.

Valadares Gaia W let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: SL Benfica W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SL Benfica W VS Valadares Gaia W
2.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SL Benfica W

(Home)
04 Oct
Braga W
0 : 6
SL Benfica W
30 Sept
SL Benfica W
0 : 3
Bayern Munich W
22 Sept
Juventus W
1 : 2
SL Benfica W
18 Sept
Rio Ave W
0 : 2
SL Benfica W
12 Sept
SL Benfica W
3 : 0
Racing Power W
Page 1 of 7

Valadares Gaia W

(Away)
03 Oct
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
26 Sept
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 0
Rio Ave W
20 Sept
Racing Power W
1 : 0
Valadares Gaia W
12 Sept
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 3
FC Porto W
29 Aug
Valadares Gaia W
0 : 2
Braga W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torreense W 3 3 0 0 14:0 9
2 Braga W 4 2 2 0 8:1 8
3 Sporting W 3 2 1 0 7:0 7
4 SL Benfica W 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
5 FC Porto W 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
6 Racing Power W 4 1 1 2 1:5 4
7 Valadares Gaia W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
8 Rio Ave W 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
9 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
10 Maritimo W 3 0 0 3 0:18 0
Relegation - Liga BPI Women (Relegation Group)