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Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Tarczynski Arena, Wrocław
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Stepinski M.
46'
Sub
Tomasiewicz G. In: Markowski D.
Out: Tomasiewicz G.
46'
Sub
Marjanac L. In: Ieltsin Camoes
Out: Marjanac L.

AI Match Summary

Korona Kielce in this Ekstraklasa matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Korona Kielce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Slask Wroclaw
15%
Draws
59%
Korona Kielce
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Korona Kielce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Slask Wroclaw have won more games recently than Korona Kielce.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ekstraklasa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Slask Wroclaw Clean Sheet 16%
Korona Kielce Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slask Wroclaw Korona Kielce
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.36 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce
1:2
Feb 22, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Slask Wroclaw
2:0
Aug 18, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce
1:1
Dec 9, 2023 Ekstraklasa
Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce
0:0
Jul 24, 2023 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Slask Wroclaw
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slask Wroclaw Compare

Top Goalscorer Dembele P. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Korona Kielce Compare

Top Goalscorer Stepinski M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gustafson S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slask Wroclaw 36 / 100
Korona Kielce 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slask Wroclaw Korona Kielce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Korona Kielce Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slask Wroclaw found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Korona Kielce's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Slask Wroclaw went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Slask Wroclaw VS Korona Kielce
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Slask Wroclaw

(Home)
03 Oct
Slask Wroclaw
0 : 3
Liberec
18 Sept
Wisla
2 : 1
Slask Wroclaw
12 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 2
Korona Kielce
06 Sept
Jagiellonia
2 : 1
Slask Wroclaw
03 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
2 : 1
Pogon Szczecin
Page 1 of 6

Korona Kielce

(Away)
03 Oct
Legia
5 : 1
Korona Kielce
19 Sept
Korona Kielce
3 : 2
Rakow Czestochowa
15 Sept
Korona Kielce
0 : 2
Gornik Zabrze
12 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 2
Korona Kielce
05 Sept
Korona Kielce
1 : 1
Wisla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze 9 7 1 1 16:8 22
2 Legia 9 5 4 0 19:8 19
3 Lech Poznan 8 6 1 1 17:7 19
4 Wisla 9 5 2 2 17:12 17
5 Pogon Szczecin 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
6 Korona Kielce 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
7 Zaglebie 9 4 3 2 11:10 15
8 Piast Gliwice 9 4 1 4 16:15 13
9 GKS Katowice 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
10 Jagiellonia 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
11 Wisla Plock 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
12 Widzew Lodz 9 1 6 2 13:13 9
13 Cracovia 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Radomiak Radom 9 2 2 5 7:20 8
15 Slask Wroclaw 9 1 3 5 11:15 6
16 Motor Lublin 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
17 KS Wieczysta Krakow 8 1 2 5 11:17 5
18 Rakow Czestochowa 9 1 0 8 12:21 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)