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Slaven Belupo vs Lok. Zagreb - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

HNL Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas, Koprivnica
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Adeshina A.
7'
Nestorovski I.
14'
Morina D.

AI Match Summary

Slaven Belupo in this HNL matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Slaven Belupo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Slaven Belupo
20%
Draws
29%
Lok. Zagreb
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Slaven Belupo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Lok. Zagreb have won more games recently than Slaven Belupo.
  • Model gives Slaven Belupo a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular HNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Slaven Belupo Clean Sheet 15%
Lok. Zagreb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slaven Belupo Lok. Zagreb
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 6 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.34 1.44
Goals Conceded 2 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 HNL
Slaven Belupo vs Lok. Zagreb
2:1
Apr 21, 2026 HNL
Lok. Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo
2:1
Mar 10, 2026 Croatian Cup
Slaven Belupo vs Lok. Zagreb
2:1
Feb 13, 2026 HNL
Slaven Belupo vs Lok. Zagreb
2:0
Jan 16, 2026 Club Friendly
Slaven Belupo vs Lok. Zagreb
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slaven Belupo Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovacic D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nestorovski I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Lok. Zagreb Compare

Top Goalscorer Djurkovic N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slaven Belupo 57 / 100
Lok. Zagreb 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slaven Belupo Lok. Zagreb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slaven Belupo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Slaven Belupo scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Lok. Zagreb's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Slaven Belupo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Slaven Belupo VS Lok. Zagreb
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Slaven Belupo

(Home)
01 Oct
O. Ljubljana
2 : 1
Slaven Belupo
18 Sept
Rudes
2 : 2
Slaven Belupo
13 Sept
Hajduk Split
1 : 0
Slaven Belupo
09 Sept
Dragovoljac
0 : 5
Slaven Belupo
06 Sept
Slaven Belupo
2 : 1
Lok. Zagreb
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Lok. Zagreb

(Away)
20 Sept
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
12 Sept
Lok. Zagreb
1 : 1
Rijeka
09 Sept
Tomislav DA
0 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
06 Sept
Slaven Belupo
2 : 1
Lok. Zagreb
31 Aug
Hajduk Split
2 : 0
Lok. Zagreb
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Zagreb 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Hajduk Split 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
3 Osijek 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
4 Varazdin 8 4 3 1 13:7 15
5 Rijeka 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
6 Istra 1961 8 2 3 3 14:13 9
7 Lok. Zagreb 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
8 Slaven Belupo 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
9 Rudes 9 2 1 6 12:25 7
10 HNK Gorica 9 1 2 6 6:14 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)