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Slaven Belupo vs Napredak

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Slaven Belupo play Napredak in the Club Friendly 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Slaven Belupo averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Napredak averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. In past meetings, Slaven Belupo won 0, Napredak won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 10, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Slaven Belupo and 1.31 for Napredak. This points to a Slaven Belupo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Slaven Belupo
27%
Draws
33%
Napredak
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Slaven Belupo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Slaven Belupo picked up more points recently compared to Napredak.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Slaven Belupo Clean Sheet 18%
Napredak Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slaven Belupo Napredak
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 6 3
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.37 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2025 Club Friendly
Slaven Belupo vs Napredak
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slaven Belupo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Napredak Compare

Top Goalscorer Lutovac A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bogdanovski N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slaven Belupo 40 / 100
Napredak 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slaven Belupo Napredak

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Slaven Belupo or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Slaven Belupo attacking → ← attacking Napredak

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slaven Belupo scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Napredak let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Slaven Belupo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Napredak lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 16
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38