Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West

CSKA Sofia III

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Slavia Sofia 2 play CSKA Sofia III in the Third League - South-West. It looks like a close match. Recently, Slavia Sofia 2 averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. CSKA Sofia III averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Slavia Sofia 2 won 2, CSKA Sofia III won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 22, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Slavia Sofia 2 and 1.38 for CSKA Sofia III. This points to a Slavia Sofia 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Slavia Sofia 2

18%

Draws

38%

CSKA Sofia III

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Slavia Sofia 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Slavia Sofia 2 picked up more points recently compared to CSKA Sofia III.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%

Slavia Sofia 2 Clean Sheet 17%

CSKA Sofia III Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Slavia Sofia 2	CSKA Sofia III
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	15	14
Draws	5	4
Losses	10	11
Goals Scored	2.07	1.48
Goals Conceded	1.33	1.14
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Third League - South-West

Slavia Sofia 2 vs CSKA Sofia III

Possession: 44% - 55% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Aug 16, 2025 Third League - South-West

CSKA Sofia III vs Slavia Sofia 2

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 3 - 4

0:2

Mar 26, 2025 Third League - South-West

CSKA Sofia III vs Slavia Sofia 2

Possession: 58% - 58% Cards: 3 - 4

0:1

Aug 31, 2024 Third League - South-West

Slavia Sofia 2 vs CSKA Sofia III

Possession: 43% - 45% Cards: 4 - 0

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slavia Sofia 2 43 / 100

CSKA Sofia III 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Slavia Sofia 2 CSKA Sofia III

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Slavia Sofia 2 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Slavia Sofia 2 attacking → ← attacking CSKA Sofia III

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slavia Sofia 2 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

CSKA Sofia III let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Slavia Sofia 2 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

CSKA Sofia III lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 46

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	34	25	5	4	58:23	80
2	Strumska Slava	34	20	5	9	71:45	65
3	Slavia Sofia 2	34	17	6	11	68:44	57
4	Botev Ihtiman	34	14	9	11	53:40	51
5	Kyustendil	34	15	5	14	49:52	50
6	CSKA Sofia III	34	15	5	14	49:43	50
7	Oborishte Panagyurishte	34	14	7	13	43:37	49
8	Balkan Botevgrad	34	13	10	11	50:45	49
9	Septemvri Sofia 2	34	13	9	12	50:43	48
10	Septemvri Simitli	34	13	8	13	41:40	47
11	Kostinbrod	34	14	5	15	47:51	47
12	Pirin Razlog	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
13	Bansko	34	11	11	12	39:45	44
14	Slivnishki Geroy	34	11	9	14	40:49	42
15	Levski Sofia II	34	11	7	16	30:44	40
16	Gotse Delchev	34	11	4	19	43:70	37
17	Germaneya	34	4	6	24	38:75	18
18	Bistritsa	34	11	5	18	44:62	38