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Slavia Sofia 2 vs Kostinbrod

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Slavia Sofia 2 and Kostinbrod finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Slavia Sofia 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Slavia Sofia 2
15%
Draws
51%
Kostinbrod
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kostinbrod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Slavia Sofia 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Slavia Sofia 2's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Slavia Sofia 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slavia Sofia 2 Kostinbrod
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 3 3
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 2.03 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Slavia Sofia 2
1:0
May 3, 2026 Third League - South-West
Slavia Sofia 2 vs Kostinbrod
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Slavia Sofia 2
1:3
Apr 10, 2024 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Slavia Sofia 2
1:0
Sep 6, 2023 Third League - South-West
Slavia Sofia 2 vs Kostinbrod
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slavia Sofia 2 42 / 100
Kostinbrod 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slavia Sofia 2 Kostinbrod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slavia Sofia 2's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kostinbrod's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Slavia Sofia 2 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Slavia Sofia 2 VS Kostinbrod
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Slavia Sofia 2

(Home)
12 Sept
Slavia Sofia 2
4 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
05 Sept
CSKA Sofia III
3 : 2
Slavia Sofia 2
29 Aug
Slavia Sofia 2
1 : 0
Balkan Botevgrad
23 Aug
Kostinbrod
1 : 0
Slavia Sofia 2
15 Aug
Slavia Sofia 2
1 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
Page 1 of 6

Kostinbrod

(Away)
12 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3
Kostinbrod
05 Sept
Kostinbrod
1 : 3
Septemvri Sofia 2
29 Aug
Levski Sofia II
1 : 2
Kostinbrod
23 Aug
Kostinbrod
1 : 0
Slavia Sofia 2
15 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 0
Kostinbrod
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rilski Sportist 34 25 5 4 58:23 80
2 Strumska Slava 34 20 5 9 71:45 65
3 Slavia Sofia 2 34 17 6 11 68:44 57
4 Botev Ihtiman 34 14 9 11 53:40 51
5 Kyustendil 34 15 5 14 49:52 50
6 CSKA Sofia III 34 15 5 14 49:43 50
7 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 14 7 13 43:37 49
8 Balkan Botevgrad 34 13 10 11 50:45 49
9 Septemvri Sofia 2 34 13 9 12 50:43 48
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 13 8 13 41:40 47
11 Kostinbrod 34 14 5 15 47:51 47
12 Pirin Razlog 34 13 6 15 43:48 45
13 Bansko 34 11 11 12 39:45 44
14 Slivnishki Geroy 34 11 9 14 40:49 42
15 Levski Sofia II 34 11 7 16 30:44 40
16 Gotse Delchev 34 11 4 19 43:70 37
17 Germaneya 34 4 6 24 38:75 18
18 Bistritsa 34 11 5 18 44:62 38
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)