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Sligo Rovers vs Galway United

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AI Match Summary

Sligo Rovers play Galway United in the Premier Division. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sligo Rovers averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. Galway United averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. In past meetings, Sligo Rovers won 2, Galway United won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 11, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Sligo Rovers and 1.88 for Galway United. This points to a Galway United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Sligo Rovers
15%
Draws
44%
Galway United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Galway United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Sligo Rovers picked up more points recently compared to Galway United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Sligo Rovers Clean Sheet 10%
Galway United Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sligo Rovers Galway United
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.11 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Premier Division
Galway United vs Sligo Rovers
3:2
May 16, 2026 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs Galway United
1:4
Feb 27, 2026 Premier Division
Galway United vs Sligo Rovers
1:0
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Sligo Rovers vs Galway United
6:0
Sep 22, 2025 Premier Division
Galway United vs Sligo Rovers
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sligo Rovers Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Galway United Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keohane J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sligo Rovers 39 / 100
Galway United 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sligo Rovers Galway United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Galway United or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sligo Rovers attacking → ← attacking Galway United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sligo Rovers scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Galway United let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Sligo Rovers went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Galway United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 31
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shamrock Rovers25155540:2250
2Bohemians25127640:2743
3St. Patricks24126639:2042
4Dundalk2498738:3635
5Shelbourne24810635:3534
6Derry City25611832:3129
7Galway United23761032:3927
8Drogheda24671129:4125
9Waterford24491133:4721
10Sligo Rovers24551420:4020