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Sligo Rovers vs UC Dublin

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sligo Rovers play UC Dublin in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sligo Rovers averaged 1.04 goals scored and 1.46 conceded. UC Dublin averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Sligo Rovers won 3, UC Dublin won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 23, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Sligo Rovers and 2.06 for UC Dublin. This points to a UC Dublin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Sligo Rovers
15%
Draws
47%
UC Dublin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UC Dublin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Sligo Rovers picked up more points recently compared to UC Dublin.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Sligo Rovers Clean Sheet 10%
UC Dublin Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sligo Rovers UC Dublin
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.04 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly
Sligo Rovers vs UC Dublin
3:1
Aug 17, 2024 FAI Cup
Sligo Rovers vs UC Dublin
0:2
Sep 16, 2023 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs UC Dublin
2:0
Jun 23, 2023 Premier Division
UC Dublin vs Sligo Rovers
2:1
Apr 22, 2023 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs UC Dublin
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sligo Rovers 36 / 100
UC Dublin 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sligo Rovers UC Dublin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: UC Dublin or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sligo Rovers attacking → ← attacking UC Dublin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sligo Rovers scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

UC Dublin let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sligo Rovers went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

UC Dublin lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 41
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38