Sport Picks
Sliven vs Spartak Plovdiv
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East 2023/2024 Hadzhi Dimitar Stadium, Sliven 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - South-East 2023/2024 game between Sliven and Spartak Plovdiv finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Plovdiv.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
17%
15%
68%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartak Plovdiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- Spartak Plovdiv carry the better recent record into this one.
- Spartak Plovdiv are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sliven Clean Sheet 13%
Spartak Plovdiv Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sliven | Spartak Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 2.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.27 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.10 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 2, 2024 Third League - South-East
Sliven vs Spartak Plovdiv
0:2
Aug 20, 2023 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Sliven
21:0
May 28, 2023 Third League - South-East
Sliven vs Spartak Plovdiv
2:2
Nov 20, 2022 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Sliven
2:2
Feb 28, 2016 Third League - South-East
Sliven vs Spartak Plovdiv
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sliven 10 / 100
Spartak Plovdiv 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sliven Spartak Plovdiv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spartak Plovdiv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 6.40 goals.
Sliven scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Spartak Plovdiv has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Sliven has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Spartak Plovdiv
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Sliven
(Home) 27 Jan
Beroe
13 : 0 Sliven
25 Jan
Chernomorets 1919
5 : 3 Sliven
17 Jul
Sozopol
4 : 2 Sliven
01 Jun
Sekirovo Rakovski
2 : 0 Sliven
25 May
Sliven
5 : 2 Levski Karlovo
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25 May
Sliven
5 : 2 Levski Karlovo
18 May
Sliven
2 : 0 Dimitrovgrad
10 May
Sliven
1 : 0 Zagorets
27 Apr
Sliven
2 : 1 Karnobat
17 Apr
Sliven
1 : 2 Botev II
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Spartak Plovdiv
(Away) 26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 4 Gigant Saedinenie
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rozova Dolina
29 Aug
OFC Haskovo
1 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
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12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
29 Aug
OFC Haskovo
1 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
15 Aug
Zagorets
1 : 4 Spartak Plovdiv
30 May
Yambol 1915
4 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
17 May
Nesebar
6 : 1 Spartak Plovdiv
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nesebar | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 121:39 | 95 |
| 2 | OFC Haskovo | 38 | 30 | 3 | 5 | 97:26 | 93 |
| 3 | Spartak Plovdiv | 38 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 122:22 | 93 |
| 4 | Gigant Saedinenie | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 81:43 | 71 |
| 5 | Zagorets | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 79:42 | 69 |
| 6 | Dimitrovgrad | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 60:40 | 67 |
| 7 | Botev II | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 84:55 | 61 |
| 8 | Atletik Kuklen | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 60:71 | 58 |
| 9 | Rozova Dolina | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 60:50 | 56 |
| 10 | Rodopa Smolyan | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 64:63 | 51 |
| 11 | Asenovets | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 59:73 | 48 |
| 12 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 65:59 | 47 |
| 13 | Sozopol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 57:53 | 46 |
| 14 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 59:75 | 40 |
| 15 | Levski Karlovo | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 56:91 | 38 |
| 16 | Yambol 1915 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 49:82 | 37 |
| 17 | Karnobat | 38 | 11 | 1 | 26 | 46:106 | 34 |
| 18 | Sliven | 38 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 42:127 | 30 |
| 19 | Sokol Markovo | 38 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 36:98 | 27 |
| 20 | Beroe II | 38 | 6 | 2 | 30 | 26:108 | 20 |
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