Sport Picks
Slivnishki Geroy vs Bistritsa
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Slivnishki Geroy host Bistritsa in the Third League - South-West 2025/2026. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Bistritsa have shipped 3 goals a game lately, while Slivnishki Geroy have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.63. Past meetings favor Slivnishki Geroy slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (2.31 - 1.06) back Slivnishki Geroy to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Bistritsa carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Slivnishki Geroy's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Slivnishki Geroy | Bistritsa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 2 |
| Losses | 13 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 3 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 3.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Bistritsa conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Away concern: Bistritsa has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Slivnishki Geroy's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |