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Slivnishki Geroy vs Granit Vladaya

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Slivnishki Geroy play Granit Vladaya in the Third League - South-West 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Slivnishki Geroy averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.46 conceded. Granit Vladaya averaged 0.93 goals scored and 3.07 conceded. In past meetings, Slivnishki Geroy won 2, Granit Vladaya won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 3, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Slivnishki Geroy and 1.63 for Granit Vladaya. This points to a Slivnishki Geroy double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Slivnishki Geroy
35%
Draws
14%
Granit Vladaya
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Slivnishki Geroy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Slivnishki Geroy picked up more points recently compared to Granit Vladaya.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Slivnishki Geroy Clean Sheet 14%
Granit Vladaya Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slivnishki Geroy Granit Vladaya
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 12 2
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.29 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.46 3.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Granit Vladaya
3:0
Oct 12, 2024 Third League - South-West
Granit Vladaya vs Slivnishki Geroy
3:3
Apr 6, 2022 Third League - South-West
Granit Vladaya vs Slivnishki Geroy
1:1
Aug 21, 2021 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Granit Vladaya
0:0
Apr 21, 2021 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Granit Vladaya
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slivnishki Geroy 49 / 100
Granit Vladaya 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slivnishki Geroy Granit Vladaya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Slivnishki Geroy or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Slivnishki Geroy attacking → ← attacking Granit Vladaya

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slivnishki Geroy scored in 69% of their last 35 games.

Granit Vladaya let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Slivnishki Geroy went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Granit Vladaya lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 13
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vihren36265581:3483
2Kyustendil36244898:4676
3Oborishte Panagyurishte361910763:3367
4Rilski Sportist361881068:5162
5Bansko3615111045:3156
6Balkan Botevgrad361591260:5654
7Pirin Razlog361581357:4753
8Septemvri Simitli361651547:4653
9Bistritsa361571452:5152
10Septemvri Sofia 2361571446:4852
11Levski Sofia II361461639:4348
12Gotse Delchev3612111343:5747
13CSKA Sofia III3611131250:5146
14Botev Ihtiman3611121340:4745
15Slivnishki Geroy3610121444:4542
16Slavia Sofia 2369111641:5838
17CSKA 1948 Sofia III36792045:7030
18Pirin Blagoevgrad 2365102132:6425
19Granit Vladaya36282634:10711