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Sloboda Tuzla vs Stupcanica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - FBiH
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sloboda Tuzla host Stupcanica in the Prva Liga - FBiH. Little to choose between these two on current form. Stupcanica have shipped 1.16 goals a game lately, while Sloboda Tuzla have conceded 0.9 and scored 1.65. Past meetings favor Sloboda Tuzla slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.69, favoring Sloboda Tuzla. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sloboda Tuzla
30%
Draws
31%
Stupcanica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sloboda Tuzla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Stupcanica at 1.77 per game, Sloboda Tuzla at 1.65.
  • Sloboda Tuzla are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sloboda Tuzla Clean Sheet 13%
Stupcanica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sloboda Tuzla Stupcanica
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 15 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.65 1.77
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Prva Liga - FBiH
Stupcanica vs Sloboda Tuzla
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Prva Liga - FBiH
Sloboda Tuzla vs Stupcanica
0:1
Apr 14, 2024 Prva Liga - FBiH
Stupcanica vs Sloboda Tuzla
0:1
Sep 16, 2023 Prva Liga - FBiH
Sloboda Tuzla vs Stupcanica
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sloboda Tuzla 35 / 100
Stupcanica 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sloboda Tuzla Stupcanica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sloboda Tuzla found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Stupcanica let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Sloboda Tuzla went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sloboda Tuzla VS Stupcanica
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sloboda Tuzla

(Home)
17 Oct
Jedinstvo Bihac
0 : 0
Sloboda Tuzla
10 Oct
Sloboda Tuzla
2 : 0
Travnik
03 Oct
Posusje
2 : 0
Sloboda Tuzla
27 Sept
NK GOSK Gabela
0 : 2
Sloboda Tuzla
19 Sept
Sloboda Tuzla
3 : 0
Hadzici
Page 1 of 7

Stupcanica

(Away)
18 Oct
Stupcanica
1 : 1
NK GOSK Gabela
10 Oct
Hadzici
1 : 3
Stupcanica
03 Oct
Stupcanica
1 : 1
Gradacac
27 Sept
TOSK Tesanj
2 : 0
Stupcanica
20 Sept
Stupcanica
4 : 1
Banovici
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Posusje 10 8 2 0 15:4 26
2 Travnik 10 7 1 2 16:8 22
3 Stupcanica 10 6 2 2 23:9 20
4 Igman Konjic 10 5 4 1 13:8 19
5 Sloboda Tuzla 10 5 3 2 17:8 18
6 NK GOSK Gabela 10 5 2 3 14:9 17
7 TOSK Tesanj 10 4 2 4 12:12 14
8 Jedinstvo Bihac 10 3 4 3 17:12 13
9 Bratstvo Gracanica 10 3 4 3 11:14 13
10 Banovici 10 2 4 4 11:19 10
11 NK Vitez 10 2 3 5 8:14 9
12 Gradacac 10 2 2 6 7:9 8
13 Kakanj 10 2 2 6 6:14 8
14 Capljina 10 2 2 6 10:20 8
15 Tomislav 10 2 2 6 12:25 8
16 Hadzici 10 2 1 7 7:14 7
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