Sport Picks
Sloboda Tuzla vs TOSK Tesanj - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Prva Liga - FBiH 
Match Events
10'
10'
Mehanovic M.
19'
19'
Delic K.
43'
43'
Nathan
AI Match Summary
Sloboda Tuzla in this Prva Liga - FBiH matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sloboda Tuzla.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sloboda Tuzla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- TOSK Tesanj haven't matched Sloboda Tuzla's recent run of results.
- 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Prva Liga - FBiH form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Sloboda Tuzla have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Sloboda Tuzla Clean Sheet 68%
TOSK Tesanj Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sloboda Tuzla | TOSK Tesanj |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Prva Liga - FBiH
Sloboda Tuzla vs TOSK Tesanj
4:2
Jun 7, 2026 Prva Liga - FBiH
Sloboda Tuzla vs TOSK Tesanj
2:0
Nov 16, 2025 Prva Liga - FBiH
TOSK Tesanj vs Sloboda Tuzla
1:0
Jun 1, 2024 Prva Liga - FBiH
TOSK Tesanj vs Sloboda Tuzla
0:1
Nov 11, 2023 Prva Liga - FBiH
Sloboda Tuzla vs TOSK Tesanj
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sloboda Tuzla Compare
Top Goalscorer Mehanovic M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nathan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
TOSK Tesanj Compare
Top Goalscorer Delic K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Husejinovic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sloboda Tuzla 41 / 100
TOSK Tesanj 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sloboda Tuzla TOSK Tesanj
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sloboda Tuzla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sloboda Tuzla scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
TOSK Tesanj let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Sloboda Tuzla remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sloboda Tuzla VS TOSK Tesanj
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sloboda Tuzla
(Home) 10 Oct
Sloboda Tuzla
2 : 0 Travnik
03 Oct
Posusje
2 : 0 Sloboda Tuzla
27 Sept
NK GOSK Gabela
0 : 2 Sloboda Tuzla
19 Sept
Sloboda Tuzla
3 : 0 Hadzici
12 Sept
Gradacac
1 : 1 Sloboda Tuzla
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Sloboda Tuzla
2 : 0 Travnik
19 Sept
Sloboda Tuzla
3 : 0 Hadzici
05 Sept
Sloboda Tuzla
4 : 2 TOSK Tesanj
23 Aug
Sloboda Tuzla
3 : 0 Tomislav
25 Jul
Sloboda Tuzla
6 : 0 Zvijezda 09
Page 1 of 3
TOSK Tesanj
(Away) 03 Oct
Bratstvo Gracanica
1 : 3 TOSK Tesanj
27 Sept
TOSK Tesanj
2 : 0 Stupcanica
19 Sept
Jedinstvo Bihac
0 : 1 TOSK Tesanj
13 Sept
TOSK Tesanj
1 : 2 Travnik
05 Sept
Sloboda Tuzla
4 : 2 TOSK Tesanj
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Bratstvo Gracanica
1 : 3 TOSK Tesanj
19 Sept
Jedinstvo Bihac
0 : 1 TOSK Tesanj
05 Sept
Sloboda Tuzla
4 : 2 TOSK Tesanj
22 Aug
Hadzici
2 : 0 TOSK Tesanj
07 Jun
Sloboda Tuzla
2 : 0 TOSK Tesanj
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Posusje | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 14:4 | 23 |
| 2 | Travnik | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 22 |
| 3 | Stupcanica | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Sloboda Tuzla | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 17 |
| 5 | NK GOSK Gabela | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:6 | 16 |
| 6 | Igman Konjic | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | 15 |
| 7 | TOSK Tesanj | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Bratstvo Gracanica | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 9 | Jedinstvo Bihac | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 15:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Banovici | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:18 | 9 |
| 11 | Gradacac | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:8 | 8 |
| 12 | Tomislav | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:23 | 8 |
| 13 | Hadzici | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:12 | 7 |
| 14 | Kakanj | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | 7 |
| 15 | Capljina | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:19 | 7 |
| 16 | NK Vitez | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:13 | 6 |
Promotion - WWIN Liga BiH 2027/2028 (Main)
