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Sloboda Tuzla vs Zeljeznicar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Zeljeznicar have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Sloboda Tuzla have conceded 0.83 and scored 1.7. Head-to-head, Sloboda Tuzla have won 1 to Zeljeznicar's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.06) point toward Sloboda Tuzla. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Sloboda Tuzla
35%
Draws
24%
Zeljeznicar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sloboda Tuzla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Sloboda Tuzla have won more games recently than Zeljeznicar.
  • Win probability leans Sloboda Tuzla's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Sloboda Tuzla have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Zeljeznicar, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Zeljeznicar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Sloboda Tuzla Clean Sheet 20%
Zeljeznicar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sloboda Tuzla Zeljeznicar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 6 11
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.7 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Zeljeznicar vs Sloboda Tuzla
0:3
Oct 29, 2025 Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup
Sloboda Tuzla vs Zeljeznicar
0:2
May 4, 2025 WWIN Liga BiH
Zeljeznicar vs Sloboda Tuzla
3:2
Nov 30, 2024 WWIN Liga BiH
Zeljeznicar vs Sloboda Tuzla
3:0
Aug 24, 2024 WWIN Liga BiH
Sloboda Tuzla vs Zeljeznicar
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sloboda Tuzla 40 / 100
Zeljeznicar 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sloboda Tuzla Zeljeznicar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sloboda Tuzla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sloboda Tuzla scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Zeljeznicar has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Sloboda Tuzla stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sloboda Tuzla VS Zeljeznicar
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sloboda Tuzla

(Home)
17 Oct
Jedinstvo Bihac
0 : 0
Sloboda Tuzla
10 Oct
Sloboda Tuzla
2 : 0
Travnik
03 Oct
Posusje
2 : 0
Sloboda Tuzla
27 Sept
NK GOSK Gabela
0 : 2
Sloboda Tuzla
19 Sept
Sloboda Tuzla
3 : 0
Hadzici
Page 1 of 6

Zeljeznicar

(Away)
17 Oct
BSK Banja Luka
1 : 1
Zeljeznicar
11 Oct
Radnik Bijeljina
3 : 1
Zeljeznicar
18 Sept
Zeljeznicar
1 : 1
Celik Zenica
13 Sept
FK Sloga Meridian
1 : 1
Zeljeznicar
09 Sept
Zeljeznicar
2 : 0
FK Sarajevo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Romanija Pale -
FK Sloga Meridian -
Zvijezda 09 -
Radnik Bijeljina -
Igman Konjic -
BSK Banja Luka -
Tomislav -
FK Sarajevo -
Proleter Dvorovi -
Celik Zenica -
Gradacac -
Velez Mostar -
NK GOSK Gabela -
Siroki Brijeg -
Laktasi -
Zrinjski -
Cazin -
Borac Banja Luka -
Sloboda Tuzla -
Zeljeznicar -
Posusje -
NK Vitez -
Famos Vojkovici -
Leotar -
Slavija -
Capljina -
Visoko -
Majevica -
TOSK Tesanj -
Rudar Prijedor -
Brotnjo Citluk -
Travnik -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -