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Sloboda vs Sloga Pozega - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - West Stadion Radomir Antic, Uzice
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sloboda host Sloga Pozega in the Srpska Liga - West. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Sloga Pozega have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Sloboda have conceded 0.97 and scored 1.31. Past meetings favor Sloboda slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 8, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 0.69, favoring Sloboda. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Sloboda
20%
Draws
24%
Sloga Pozega
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sloboda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sloboda lately — more wins on the board than Sloga Pozega.
  • Win probability leans Sloboda's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sloboda Clean Sheet 20%
Sloga Pozega Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sloboda Sloga Pozega
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 9 12
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.31 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Srpska Liga - West
Sloboda vs Sloga Pozega
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Srpska Liga - West
Sloga Pozega vs Sloboda
1:0
May 7, 2022 Srpska Liga - West
Sloga Pozega vs Sloboda
0:0
Oct 23, 2021 Srpska Liga - West
Sloboda vs Sloga Pozega
3:2
Apr 28, 2021 Srpska Liga - West
Sloga Pozega vs Sloboda
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sloboda 76 / 100
Sloga Pozega 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sloboda Sloga Pozega

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sloboda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sloboda scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Sloga Pozega conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Sloboda went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sloboda VS Sloga Pozega
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sloboda

(Home)
03 Oct
Sloboda
3 : 2
Omladinac Zablace
27 Sept
FAP
2 : 1
Sloboda
23 Sept
Sloboda
1 : 0
Takovo
19 Sept
OFK Napredak
0 : 2
Sloboda
12 Sept
Sloboda
1 : 0
Buducnost Krusik
Page 1 of 6

Sloga Pozega

(Away)
03 Oct
Vujan Prislonica
4 : 0
Sloga Pozega
27 Sept
Sloga Pozega
1 : 0
Radnicki Valjevo
23 Sept
Sloga Pozega
0 : 0
Real Podunavci
19 Sept
FK Zlatibor Cajetina
0 : 0
Sloga Pozega
12 Sept
Sloga Pozega
0 : 1
Omladinac Zablace
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jedinstvo Putevi 9 6 3 0 15:4 21
2 FAP 9 5 3 1 12:4 18
3 Sloboda 9 6 0 3 14:9 18
4 Radnicki Valjevo 9 5 3 1 7:2 18
5 Omladinac Zablace 9 5 2 2 12:7 17
6 Zeleznicar Lajkovac 9 4 2 3 12:9 14
7 FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac 9 3 3 3 8:10 12
8 FK Zlatibor Cajetina 9 3 2 4 10:8 11
9 Buducnost Krusik 9 3 2 4 10:9 11
10 Vujan Prislonica 9 3 1 5 11:15 10
11 OFK Napredak 9 2 3 4 7:8 9
12 Sloga Pozega 9 2 3 4 4:10 9
13 Takovo 9 2 2 5 6:11 8
14 Real Podunavci 9 2 2 5 7:13 8
15 Djerdap Golubac 9 1 4 4 11:18 7
16 Radevac 9 1 3 5 6:15 6
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