Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sloga Leskovac vs Jagodina

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - East game between Sloga Leskovac and Jagodina finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sloga Leskovac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sloga Leskovac
6%
Draws
90%
Jagodina
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jagodina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sloga Leskovac haven't matched Jagodina's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Jagodina a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jagodina have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sloga Leskovac Clean Sheet 10%
Jagodina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sloga Leskovac Jagodina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 16
Draws 1 6
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.75 4.25
Goals Conceded 2 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 4.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Sloga Leskovac
4:2
Oct 25, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Sloga Leskovac vs Jagodina
3:1
Mar 12, 2022 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Sloga Leskovac
2:0
Aug 21, 2021 Srpska Liga - East
Sloga Leskovac vs Jagodina
1:4
Jun 3, 2007 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Sloga Leskovac
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sloga Leskovac 10 / 100
Jagodina 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sloga Leskovac Jagodina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sloga Leskovac's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Jagodina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Sloga Leskovac stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sloga Leskovac VS Jagodina
1.75 Goals Scored 4.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sloga Leskovac

(Home)
14 Jun
Morava Cuprija
3 : 1
Sloga Leskovac
07 Jun
Sloga Leskovac
1 : 4
Timok
30 May
Jedinstvo Krusevac
1 : 2
Sloga Leskovac
23 May
Sloga Leskovac
2 : 3
Sindjelic
16 May
Jagodina
4 : 2
Sloga Leskovac
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Jagodina

(Away)
12 Jun
Jagodina
13 : 0
Djerdap
07 Jun
Dunav Prahovo
1 : 0
Jagodina
30 May
Jagodina
4 : 1
Paracin
24 May
Radnicki Pirot
1 : 5
Jagodina
16 May
Jagodina
4 : 2
Sloga Leskovac
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