Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sloga Nova Gradiska vs Kutjevo

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL East game between Sloga Nova Gradiska and Kutjevo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sloga Nova Gradiska.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sloga Nova Gradiska
6%
Draws
90%
Kutjevo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kutjevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sloga Nova Gradiska have managed 0.75 goals a game lately — Kutjevo are scoring more at 1.88.
  • Kutjevo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3. HNL East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sloga Nova Gradiska here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Sloga Nova Gradiska Clean Sheet 10%
Kutjevo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sloga Nova Gradiska Kutjevo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2022 3. HNL East
Sloga Nova Gradiska vs Kutjevo
1:0
Oct 10, 2021 3. HNL East
Kutjevo vs Sloga Nova Gradiska
3:2
Apr 28, 2021 3. HNL East
Sloga Nova Gradiska vs Kutjevo
4:2
Sep 27, 2020 3. HNL East
Kutjevo vs Sloga Nova Gradiska
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sloga Nova Gradiska 10 / 100
Kutjevo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sloga Nova Gradiska Kutjevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KUT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kutjevo conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Sloga Nova Gradiska scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Kutjevo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sloga Nova Gradiska VS Kutjevo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sloga Nova Gradiska

(Home)
28 Aug
Sloga Nova Gradiska
0 : 1
Bjelovar
28 May
Sloga Nova Gradiska
3 : 1
Oriolik
21 May
Marsonia
3 : 1
Sloga Nova Gradiska
14 May
Slavonac Bukovlje
5 : 3
Sloga Nova Gradiska
07 May
Sloga Nova Gradiska
1 : 4
Zrinski Osjecko
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Kutjevo

(Away)
26 Sept
Kutjevo
1 : 4
Osijek
30 Aug
Gospic
2 : 4
Kutjevo
27 May
Kutjevo
0 : 1
Slavonija Pozega
21 May
Belisce
5 : 3
Kutjevo
15 May
Kutjevo
3 : 0
Omladinac Gornja Vrba
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vukovar 1991 34 25 7 2 80:20 82
2 Zrinski Osjecko 34 24 6 4 69:33 78
3 Belisce 34 23 6 5 95:28 75
4 Marsonia 34 21 7 6 61:25 70
5 Slavonija Pozega 34 18 7 9 60:38 61
6 Croatia Dakovo 34 16 11 7 60:38 59
7 Bedem Ivankovo 34 13 8 13 53:52 47
8 Slavija Pleternica 34 13 6 15 57:68 45
9 Kutjevo 34 12 7 15 59:62 43
10 Granicar Zupanja 34 11 7 16 43:52 40
11 Sloga Nova Gradiska 34 12 3 19 46:71 39
12 Oriolik 34 11 5 18 43:71 38
13 Cepin 34 8 10 16 46:64 34
14 Darda 34 9 5 20 44:71 32
15 Vuteks Sloga 34 9 4 21 52:81 31
16 NASK Nasice 34 7 9 18 38:63 30
17 Omladinac Gornja Vrba 34 8 6 20 35:63 30
18 Slavonac Bukovlje 34 7 4 23 36:77 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)