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Slovakia vs Wales

World World

Friendly International 2024 City Arena Trnava, Trnava
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Hancko D.
45' Event
Kucka J.
Assist: Haraslin L.
56' Event
Bozenik R.
Assist: Hancko D.

AI Match Summary

Slovakia in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Slovakia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Slovakia
30%
Draws
29%
Wales
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Slovakia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Slovakia have won more games recently than Wales.
  • Model gives Wales a 29% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Slovakia Clean Sheet 15%
Wales Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slovakia Wales
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 5 10
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.48 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2024 Friendly International
Slovakia vs Wales
4:0
Oct 10, 2019 Euro
Slovakia vs Wales
1:1
Mar 24, 2019 Euro
Wales vs Slovakia
1:0
Jun 11, 2016 Euro
Wales vs Slovakia
2:1
Sep 12, 2007 Euro
Slovakia vs Wales
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slovakia Compare

Top Goalscorer Kucka J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bozenik R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Wales Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slovakia 15 / 100
Wales 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slovakia Wales

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wales Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slovakia found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Wales's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Slovakia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Slovakia VS Wales
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Slovakia

(Home)
05 Jun
Slovakia
2 : 2
Montenegro
01 Jun
Slovakia
2 : 1
Malta
31 Mar
Slovakia
2 : 0
Romania
26 Mar
Slovakia
3 : 4
Kosovo
17 Nov
Germany
6 : 0
Slovakia
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Wales

(Away)
06 Jun
Romania
2 : 1
Wales
02 Jun
Wales
1 : 1
Ghana
31 Mar
Wales
1 : 1
Northern Ireland
26 Mar
Wales
1 : 2
Bosnia & Herzegovina
18 Nov
Wales
7 : 1
North Macedonia
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