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Slovakia vs Wales

World World

Friendly International 2024 City Arena Trnava
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Hancko D.
45' Event
Kucka J.
Assist: Haraslin L.
56' Event
Bozenik R.
Assist: Hancko D.

AI Match Summary

Slovakia host Wales in the Friendly International 2024. This one's hard to separate. Slovakia have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Wales's 1.63 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Slovakia have won 1 to Wales's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 9, 2024, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.56, favoring Slovakia. Slovakia in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Slovakia
17%
Draws
70%
Wales
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Wales

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Slovakia has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Wales.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Wales.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Friendly International 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Slovakia Clean Sheet 15%
Wales Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slovakia Wales
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 5 10
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2024 Friendly International
Slovakia vs Wales
4:0
Oct 10, 2019 Euro
Slovakia vs Wales
1:1
Mar 24, 2019 Euro
Wales vs Slovakia
1:0
Jun 11, 2016 Euro
Wales vs Slovakia
2:1
Sep 12, 2007 Euro
Slovakia vs Wales
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slovakia Compare

Top Goalscorer Kucka J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bozenik R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Wales Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slovakia 15 / 100
Wales 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slovakia Wales

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slovakia scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Wales let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Slovakia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Wales lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Slovakia VS Wales
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%