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Slovakia W vs Ukraine W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Cup Women Futbal Tatran Aréna, Prešov
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the World Cup Women. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Ukraine W have shipped 1.54 goals a game lately, while Slovakia W have conceded 1.37 and scored 1.93. Past meetings favor Ukraine W slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 25, 2025, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.81) point toward Ukraine W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Slovakia W
15%
Draws
0%
Ukraine W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Slovakia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Slovakia W come out ahead of Ukraine W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Slovakia W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Slovakia W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ukraine W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ukraine W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Slovakia W Clean Sheet 11%
Ukraine W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slovakia W Ukraine W
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.93 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 Friendly International Women
Slovakia W vs Ukraine W
1:2
Jun 20, 2012 Euro Women
Slovakia W vs Ukraine W
0:2
Oct 22, 2011 Euro Women
Ukraine W vs Slovakia W
0:0
Jun 20, 2007 Euro Women
Ukraine W vs Slovakia W
5:0
May 9, 2007 Euro Women
Slovakia W vs Ukraine W
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slovakia W 56 / 100
Ukraine W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slovakia W Ukraine W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slovakia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ukraine W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Slovakia W scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Ukraine W let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Slovakia W VS Ukraine W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Slovakia W

(Home)
09 Jun
Latvia W
1 : 2
Slovakia W
05 Jun
Slovakia W
0 : 4
Finland W
18 Apr
Slovakia W
1 : 2
Portugal W
14 Apr
Finland W
4 : 2
Slovakia W
07 Mar
Portugal W
4 : 0
Slovakia W
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Ukraine W

(Away)
09 Jun
England W
3 : 0
Ukraine W
05 Jun
Ukraine W
0 : 1
Iceland W
18 Apr
Spain W
5 : 0
Ukraine W
14 Apr
Iceland W
1 : 0
Ukraine W
07 Mar
Ukraine W
1 : 3
Spain W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Slovakia W -
Ukraine W -
Greece W -
England W -
Finland W -
Serbia W -
Belarus W -
Italy W -
Northern Ireland W -
Portugal W -
Croatia W -
Iceland W -
Albania W -
Wales W -
Romania W -
Norway W -
Israel W -
Switzerland W -
Kosovo W -
Austria W -
Czech Republic W -
Scotland W -
Lithuania W -
Sweden W -
Belgium W -
Poland W -
Kazakhstan W -
Ireland W -
Turkey W -
Slovenia W -
Hungary W -
Netherlands W -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -