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Slovan Ljubljana vs Bistrica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Slovan Ljubljana host Bistrica in the 2. SNL. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Slovan Ljubljana at 1.34 goals for, 1.72 against; Bistrica at 1.34 for, 1.66 against. Head-to-head, Slovan Ljubljana have won 1 to Bistrica's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.56) point toward Slovan Ljubljana. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Slovan Ljubljana
15%
Draws
39%
Bistrica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Slovan Ljubljana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Slovan Ljubljana come out ahead of Bistrica on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 2. SNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Bistrica have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Slovan Ljubljana Clean Sheet 15%
Bistrica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slovan Ljubljana Bistrica
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.34 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Slovan Ljubljana
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 2. SNL
Slovan Ljubljana vs Bistrica
2:0
Apr 11, 2025 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Slovan Ljubljana
2:1
Sep 27, 2024 2. SNL
Slovan Ljubljana vs Bistrica
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slovan Ljubljana 31 / 100
Bistrica 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slovan Ljubljana Bistrica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slovan Ljubljana scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Bistrica has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Slovan Ljubljana has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Slovan Ljubljana VS Bistrica
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Slovan Ljubljana

(Home)
03 Oct
Dravinja
1 : 4
Slovan Ljubljana
27 Sept
Slovan Ljubljana
1 : 0
NK Brezice
20 Sept
Triglav
3 : 0
Slovan Ljubljana
12 Sept
Slovan Ljubljana
0 : 0
Vrhnika
05 Sept
Bilje
4 : 0
Slovan Ljubljana
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Bistrica

(Away)
04 Oct
Bistrica
3 : 1
Rudar
26 Sept
Tabor Sezana
1 : 0
Bistrica
20 Sept
Dravinja
3 : 1
Bistrica
12 Sept
Bistrica
2 : 1
NK Brezice
04 Sept
Triglav
1 : 0
Bistrica
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tabor Sezana 9 7 1 1 20:7 22
2 Triglav 9 6 1 2 18:5 19
3 Beltinci 9 6 1 2 23:11 19
4 Jesenice 9 5 1 3 16:12 16
5 Slovan Ljubljana 9 5 1 3 13:15 16
6 Rudar 9 5 0 4 19:16 15
7 Bilje 9 5 0 4 17:17 15
8 Vrhnika 9 4 2 3 10:12 14
9 Ilirija 9 4 1 4 15:10 13
10 Bistrica 9 4 1 4 12:14 13
11 Jadran Dekani 9 3 3 3 6:6 12
12 Primorje 9 2 3 4 10:15 9
13 Krsko Posavje 9 2 3 4 8:15 9
14 NK Krka 9 2 1 6 9:16 7
15 Dravinja 9 1 1 7 9:24 4
16 NK Brezice 9 0 2 7 8:18 2
Promotion - Prva liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga (Relegation)