Sport Picks
Slovenia vs Kazakhstan
Europe
UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 Stadion Stozice, Ljubljana 
Match Events
20'
20'
Mlakar J.
23'
23'
Sesko B.
28'
28'
Sesko B.
AI Match Summary
Slovenia in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Slovenia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kazakhstan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
25%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Slovenia lately — more wins on the board than Kazakhstan.
- 25% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and Slovenia have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Slovenia Clean Sheet 68%
Kazakhstan Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Slovenia | Kazakhstan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 13 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 13, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Kazakhstan vs Slovenia
0:1
Sep 9, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Slovenia vs Kazakhstan
3:0
Nov 20, 2023 Euro
Slovenia vs Kazakhstan
2:1
Mar 23, 2023 Euro
Kazakhstan vs Slovenia
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Slovenia Compare
Top Goalscorer Sesko B.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Kazakhstan Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Slovenia 41 / 100
Kazakhstan 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Slovenia Kazakhstan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Slovenia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Slovenia scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Kazakhstan has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Slovenia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Slovenia VS Kazakhstan
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Slovenia
(Home) 26 Sept
Slovenia
0 : 0 Scotland
07 Jun
Croatia
2 : 1 Slovenia
04 Jun
Slovenia
1 : 1 Cyprus
31 Mar
Montenegro
2 : 3 Slovenia
28 Mar
Hungary
1 : 0 Slovenia
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Slovenia
0 : 0 Scotland
04 Jun
Slovenia
1 : 1 Cyprus
15 Nov
Slovenia
0 : 2 Kosovo
13 Oct
Slovenia
0 : 0 Switzerland
05 Sept
Slovenia
2 : 2 Sweden
Page 1 of 3
Kazakhstan
(Away) 26 Sept
Faroe Islands
1 : 1 Kazakhstan
09 Jun
Hungary
3 : 1 Kazakhstan
06 Jun
Armenia
1 : 1 Kazakhstan
31 Mar
Kazakhstan
1 : 0 Comoros
25 Mar
Kazakhstan
2 : 0 Namibia
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Faroe Islands
1 : 1 Kazakhstan
09 Jun
Hungary
3 : 1 Kazakhstan
06 Jun
Armenia
1 : 1 Kazakhstan
18 Nov
Faroe Islands
1 : 0 Kazakhstan
13 Oct
North Macedonia
1 : 1 Kazakhstan
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Czech Republic | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 2 | Ukraine | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 3 | Georgia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Albania | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | 7 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Greece | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 3 | Ireland | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3:12 | 6 |
| 4 | Finland | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2:13 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norway | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 13 |
| 2 | Austria | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0:15 | 1 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wales | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Turkey | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 3 | Iceland | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:13 | 7 |
| 4 | Montenegro | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:9 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)
