Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Slovenia vs Norway Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 Stadion Stozice, Ljubljana
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Nusa A.
19'
Heggem T.
21' Event
Sesko B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Norway in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Norway.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Slovenia
20%
Draws
34%
Norway
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Slovenia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Norway lately — more wins on the board than Slovenia.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Slovenia taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Slovenia Clean Sheet 68%
Norway Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slovenia Norway
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 19
Draws 13 4
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 0.93 2.66
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Slovenia vs Norway
1:4
Oct 10, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Norway vs Slovenia
3:0
Sep 24, 2022 UEFA Nations League
Slovenia vs Norway
2:1
Jun 9, 2022 UEFA Nations League
Norway vs Slovenia
0:0
Nov 16, 2018 UEFA Nations League
Slovenia vs Norway
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slovenia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Norway Compare

Top Goalscorer Nusa A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Haaland E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slovenia 50 / 100
Norway 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slovenia Norway

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slovenia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Slovenia scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Norway has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Slovenia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Slovenia VS Norway
1 Goals Scored 2
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.38
57% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Slovenia

(Home)
29 Sept
Slovenia
2 : 0
North Macedonia
26 Sept
Slovenia
0 : 0
Scotland
07 Jun
Croatia
2 : 1
Slovenia
04 Jun
Slovenia
1 : 1
Cyprus
31 Mar
Montenegro
2 : 3
Slovenia
Page 1 of 6

Norway

(Away)
01 Oct
Wales
2 : 1
Norway
27 Sept
Norway
1 : 2
Portugal
24 Sept
Norway
3 : 2
Denmark
11 Jul
Norway
1 : 2
England
05 Jul
Brazil
1 : 2
Norway
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Czech Republic 6 3 2 1 9:8 11
2 Ukraine 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
3 Georgia 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Albania 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Greece 6 5 0 1 11:4 15
3 Ireland 6 2 0 4 3:12 6
4 Finland 6 0 0 6 2:13 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 6 4 1 1 15:7 13
2 Austria 6 3 2 1 14:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
4 Kazakhstan 6 0 1 5 0:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wales 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
2 Turkey 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 10:13 7
4 Montenegro 6 1 0 5 4:9 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)