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Slovenia vs Switzerland - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Slovenia host Switzerland in the UEFA Nations League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Switzerland have shipped 1.06 goals a game lately, while Slovenia have conceded 1.07 and scored 0.97. Past meetings favor Switzerland slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 3, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (0.94 - 1.50) back Switzerland to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Slovenia
15%
Draws
54%
Switzerland
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Switzerland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Switzerland come out ahead of Slovenia on wins alone.
  • Switzerland are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Slovenia Clean Sheet 16%
Switzerland Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slovenia Switzerland
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 9 18
Draws 13 11
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 0.97 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Switzerland vs Slovenia
2:1
Oct 13, 2025 World Championship
Slovenia vs Switzerland
0:0
Sep 8, 2025 World Championship
Switzerland vs Slovenia
3:0
Sep 5, 2015 Euro
Switzerland vs Slovenia
3:2
Oct 9, 2014 Euro
Slovenia vs Switzerland
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slovenia 15 / 100
Switzerland 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slovenia Switzerland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Switzerland Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slovenia found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Switzerland's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Slovenia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Slovenia VS Switzerland
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Slovenia

(Home)
06 Oct
Scotland
1 : 2
Slovenia
03 Oct
Switzerland
2 : 1
Slovenia
29 Sept
Slovenia
2 : 0
North Macedonia
26 Sept
Slovenia
0 : 0
Scotland
07 Jun
Croatia
2 : 1
Slovenia
Page 1 of 6

Switzerland

(Away)
06 Oct
Switzerland
3 : 0
North Macedonia
03 Oct
Switzerland
2 : 1
Slovenia
29 Sept
Scotland
0 : 3
Switzerland
26 Sept
North Macedonia
0 : 3
Switzerland
12 Jul
Argentina
3 : 1
Switzerland
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 Slovenia 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Scotland 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 North Macedonia 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Ireland 4 2 2 0 4:0 8
2 Hungary 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
3 Ukraine 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
4 Georgia 4 0 2 2 0:2 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
2 Kosovo 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
3 Ireland 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
4 Israel 4 0 2 2 2:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
3 Poland 4 1 1 2 7:4 4
4 Romania 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)