Sport Picks

Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2023

Smari

1 - 6

Aegir

Our Tip

Match Events

24'

Cokic D.

31'

Joninuson B.

34'

Joninuson B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-6, with Aegir advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%

Smari

15%

Draws

12%

Aegir

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Smari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence

Aegir carry the better recent record into this one.
Smari are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Aegir arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Aegir, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%

Smari Clean Sheet 19%

Aegir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Smari	Aegir
Matches Played	10	31
Wins	3	6
Draws	0	3
Losses	7	22
Goals Scored	1.6	1.45
Goals Conceded	3.2	2.77
Expected Goals (xG)	1.67	1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2023 Icelandic Cup

Smari vs Aegir

1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smari Compare

Top Goalscorer Gudlaugsson I. E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.28

Avg xA / game 0.83

Aegir Compare

Top Goalscorer Joninuson B.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Eythorsson B.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.13

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smari 85 / 100

Aegir 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Smari Aegir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Smari Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smari's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 10 recent games.

Defensive concern: Aegir conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Aegir's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aegir

0 Goals Scored 1.38

0 Goals Conceded 2.13

0% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 88%

0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Smari

(Home)

28 Mar

Leiknir Reykjavik

3 : 0

Smari

21 Mar

Smari

3 : 2

Skallagrimur

09 Apr

Olafsvik

5 : 1

Smari

29 Mar

Smari

4 : 0

Falkar

05 Apr

Smari

2 : 3

Arbaer

Page 1 of 2

Aegir

(Away)

05 Sept

Aegir

1 : 1

Grindavik

28 Aug

Throttur

7 : 2

Aegir

21 Aug

Aegir

0 : 7

Afturelding

17 Aug

Leiknir Reykjavik

6 : 1

Aegir

13 Aug

Aegir

0 : 2

Volsungur

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Kopavogur -

TBD -

KFG Gardabaer 7

Hafnir 0

IR Reykjavik 0

IH Hafnarfjordur 1

KA Akureyri -

TBD -

IBU 7

Hamar 0

KA Asvellir 5

Kormakur/Hvot 4

Valur -

TBD -

RB Keflavik 5

Alafoss 3

Hviti 3

GG Grindavik 2

Afturelding -

TBD -

Grindavik -

Dalvik/Reynir -

TBD -

Hamrarnir 2

Tindastoll 7

Fram -

TBD -

Ymir 1

KFS 2

Throttur 18

Stokkseyri 0

KB Breidholt 2

Kria 4

TBD -

Fjolnir -

TBD -

Breidablik -

Berserkir / Midas 1

Smari 2

Reynir 1

Aegir 2

TBD -

Hafnarfjordur -

SR Reykjavik 1

Augnablik 5

Njardvik 4

Hordur Isafjordur 0

KFA -

TBD -

Spyrnir -

Ellidi 0

Arborg 1

Kari 5

Lettir 0

Thor Akureyri -

TBD -

Fjallabyggd -

Leiknir Reykjavik -

TBD -

Arbaer 2

Olafsvik 1

Reynir Hellissandur 1

KFK Kopavogur 7

Selfoss 7

Alftanes 1

Vikingur Reykjavik -

TBD -

Volsungur -

TBD -

Magni 4

Samherjar 0

Grotta -

TBD -

Vestri -

Skallagrimur 2

KFR 3

Vaengirs 4

KH Hlidarendi 5

Sindri -

TBD -

Hottur / Huginn -

TBD -

Fylkir -

KR Reykjavik -

TBD -

Ulfarnir 1

Throttur Vogar 3

KV Reykjavik 17

Afrika Reykjavik 0

Stjarnan -

TBD -

IBV Vestmannaeyjar -

Keflavik -

TBD -

Akranes -

TBD -

Haukar 2

Vidir 3

1/32-finals

Kopavogur -

TBD -

KFG Gardabaer 3

IH Hafnarfjordur 2

KA Akureyri -

TBD -

IBU 4

KA Asvellir 3

Valur -

TBD -

RB Keflavik 3

Hviti 2

Afturelding 0

Grindavik 1

Dalvik/Reynir 2

Tindastoll 1

Fram -

TBD -

KFS 0

Throttur 5

Kria 0

Fjolnir 10

TBD -

Breidablik -

Smari 1

Aegir 6

TBD -

Hafnarfjordur -

Augnablik 2

Njardvik 3

KFA 7

Spyrnir 1

Arborg 1

Kari 3

Thor Akureyri 6

Fjallabyggd 0

Leiknir Reykjavik 2

Arbaer 0

KFK Kopavogur 0

Selfoss 8

Vikingur Reykjavik -

TBD -

Volsungur 0

Magni 1

Grotta 1

Vestri 0

KFR 0

KH Hlidarendi 1

Sindri 4

Hottur / Huginn 3

TBD -

Fylkir -

KR Reykjavik -

TBD -

Throttur Vogar 2

KV Reykjavik 0

Stjarnan -

TBD -

IBV Vestmannaeyjar -

Keflavik -

TBD -

Akranes 3

Vidir 0

1/16-finals

Kopavogur 5

KFG Gardabaer 0

KA Akureyri 5

IBU 0

Valur 4

RB Keflavik 1

Grindavik 2

Dalvik/Reynir 1

Fram 2

Throttur 3

Fjolnir 0

Breidablik 2

Aegir 1

Hafnarfjordur 3

Njardvik 4

KFA 1

Kari 1

Thor Akureyri 2

Leiknir Reykjavik 1

Selfoss 0

Vikingur Reykjavik 6

Magni 2

Grotta 4

KH Hlidarendi 3

Sindri 2

Fylkir 4

KR Reykjavik 3

Throttur Vogar 0

Stjarnan 1

IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0

Keflavik 1

Akranes 0

1/8-finals

Kopavogur 1

KA Akureyri 3

Valur 1

Grindavik 3

Throttur 0

Breidablik 3

Hafnarfjordur 2

Njardvik 1

Thor Akureyri 3

Leiknir Reykjavik 1

Vikingur Reykjavik 2

Grotta 1

Fylkir 3

KR Reykjavik 4

Stjarnan 4

Keflavik 0

Quarter-finals

KA Akureyri 2

Grindavik 1

Breidablik 3

Hafnarfjordur 1

Thor Akureyri 1

Vikingur Reykjavik 2

KR Reykjavik 2

Stjarnan 1

Semi-finals

KA Akureyri 4

Breidablik 3

Vikingur Reykjavik 4

KR Reykjavik 1

Final

KA Akureyri 1

Vikingur Reykjavik 3

Smari vs Aegir

Iceland

Smari

Aegir

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Smari Compare

Aegir Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Smari

Aegir

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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