Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Smarje vs Dravograd

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - North 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - North 2017/2018 game between Smarje and Dravograd finished 3-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dravograd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Smarje
15%
Draws
0%
Dravograd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Smarje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Smarje carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Dravograd are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • Dravograd have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Smarje Clean Sheet 10%
Dravograd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smarje Dravograd
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 3
Draws 4 1
Losses 21 27
Goals Scored 0.97 0.81
Goals Conceded 2.93 3.94
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2022 3. SNL - East
Dravograd vs Smarje
3:0
Sep 25, 2021 3. SNL - East
Smarje vs Dravograd
0:1
Sep 5, 2020 3. SNL - East
Smarje vs Dravograd
1:0
Mar 28, 2018 3. SNL - North
Smarje vs Dravograd
3:5
Aug 26, 2017 3. SNL - North
Dravograd vs Smarje
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smarje 26 / 100
Dravograd 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smarje Dravograd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dravograd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dravograd has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Difficult form: Dravograd registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Smarje found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Smarje VS Dravograd
1 Goals Scored 1
4 Goals Conceded 4.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Smarje

(Home)
31 Oct
Smarje
1 : 4
Rogaska
28 May
Zavrc
12 : 0
Smarje
21 May
Smarje
1 : 4
Sampion Celje
14 May
Bistrica
12 : 1
Smarje
07 May
Smarje
3 : 1
Posavje Krsko
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Dravograd

(Away)
25 May
Dravograd
1 : 2
NK Brezice
18 May
NK Smartno
6 : 0
Dravograd
11 May
Dravograd
1 : 6
Krsko Posavje
04 May
Hajdina
9 : 0
Dravograd
27 Apr
Ljutomer
5 : 2
Dravograd
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dravograd 26 18 7 1 66:18 61
2 Sampion Celje 26 17 8 1 60:19 59
3 Dravinja 26 13 7 6 49:27 46
4 Pesnica 26 13 6 7 39:30 45
5 Bistrica 26 11 8 7 40:32 41
6 Zrece 26 12 4 10 58:37 40
7 SD Videm 26 10 5 11 38:43 35
8 Pohorje 26 10 5 11 41:50 35
9 Mons Claudius 26 7 10 9 32:43 31
10 Dobrovce 26 8 4 14 36:45 28
11 Sentjur 26 7 3 16 34:65 24
12 Korotan Prevalje 26 7 2 17 35:43 23
13 Lenart 26 7 2 17 30:64 23
14 Smarje 26 6 1 19 26:68 19
Promotion - 3. SNL - Promotion Play Offs 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)