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Smarje vs Sentjur

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - North 2014/2015
Smarje Logo

Smarje

5 - 1
FT
Sentjur Logo

Sentjur

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - North 2014/2015 game between Smarje and Sentjur finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Smarje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Smarje
15%
Draws
42%
Sentjur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Smarje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sentjur come out ahead of Smarje on wins alone.
  • Sentjur are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3. SNL - North 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Smarje Clean Sheet 18%
Sentjur Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smarje Sentjur
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 23 19
Goals Scored 0.91 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2018 3. SNL - North
Smarje vs Sentjur
0:2
Sep 30, 2017 3. SNL - North
Sentjur vs Smarje
2:0
Apr 18, 2015 3. SNL - North
Smarje vs Sentjur
5:1
Sep 20, 2014 3. SNL - North
Sentjur vs Smarje
1:2
May 3, 2014 3. SNL - East
Sentjur vs Smarje
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smarje 10 / 100
Sentjur 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smarje Sentjur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sentjur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sentjur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Sentjur registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Smarje found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Smarje VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Smarje

(Home)
31 Oct
Smarje
1 : 4
Rogaska
28 May
Zavrc
12 : 0
Smarje
21 May
Smarje
1 : 4
Sampion Celje
14 May
Bistrica
12 : 1
Smarje
07 May
Smarje
3 : 1
Posavje Krsko
Page 1 of 7

Sentjur

(Away)
27 May
Sentjur
1 : 4
SD Videm
19 May
Bistrica
3 : 2
Sentjur
13 May
Sampion Celje
4 : 1
Sentjur
05 May
Sentjur
3 : 2
Dravinja
02 May
Sentjur
2 : 4
Pohorje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 2 26 22 1 3 80:25 67
2 Drava 26 19 4 3 82:29 61
3 Podvinci 26 13 4 9 49:35 43
4 Dravograd 26 12 6 8 56:42 42
5 Smarje 26 12 4 10 45:36 40
6 Fuzinar 26 10 10 6 39:35 40
7 Sampion Celje 26 12 2 12 66:49 38
8 Mons Claudius 26 12 2 12 37:61 38
9 Radlje ob Dravi 26 10 5 11 50:44 35
10 Lenart 26 11 0 15 41:50 33
11 Sentjur 26 9 4 13 39:59 31
12 Korotan Prevalje 26 9 2 15 42:50 29
13 Bistrica 26 4 1 21 22:71 13
14 Malecnik 26 4 1 21 28:90 13
Promotion - 3. SNL - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Promotion - Play Offs)