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Smedby vs Eker Orebro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Frisk C.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Svealand game between Smedby and Eker Orebro finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Smedby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Smedby
30%
Draws
23%
Eker Orebro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Smedby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Smedby come out ahead of Eker Orebro on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Smedby's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Svealand form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Smedby have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Smedby Clean Sheet 19%
Eker Orebro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smedby Eker Orebro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 5
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1.9 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.62 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Eker Orebro
1:0
Mar 28, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Eker Orebro vs Smedby
2:6
Aug 30, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Eker Orebro vs Smedby
0:3
Apr 12, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Eker Orebro
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smedby Compare

Top Goalscorer Frisk C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Eker Orebro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smedby 40 / 100
Eker Orebro 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smedby Eker Orebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Smedby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smedby found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Eker Orebro let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Eker Orebro's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Smedby VS Eker Orebro
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Smedby

(Home)
02 Oct
Smedby
1 : 1
Nykopings
27 Sept
Haninge
2 : 1
Smedby
19 Sept
Smedby
0 : 1
Fittja IF
12 Sept
Farsta
3 : 0
Smedby
05 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 1
Smedby
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Eker Orebro

(Away)
03 Oct
Eker Orebro
1 : 3
Ragsved
27 Sept
Lindo FF
3 : 2
Eker Orebro
20 Sept
Eker Orebro
4 : 5
Haninge
13 Sept
Nykopings
3 : 0
Eker Orebro
05 Sept
Eker Orebro
3 : 3
Karlslund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Farsta 24 14 4 6 49:26 46
2 Sleipner 24 13 6 5 49:36 45
3 Forward 24 13 5 6 45:29 44
4 Nykopings 24 13 4 7 39:23 43
5 Haninge 24 13 4 7 58:45 43
6 Ragsved 24 11 6 7 45:37 39
7 Smedby 24 10 6 8 41:33 36
8 Fittja IF 24 10 3 11 37:38 33
9 Karlslund 24 8 7 9 37:38 31
10 Orebro Syrianska 24 8 4 12 27:29 28
11 Syrianska 24 7 5 12 38:52 26
12 Nacka FC 24 7 3 14 26:45 24
13 Lindo FF 24 6 2 16 32:50 20
14 Eker Orebro 24 4 3 17 29:71 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Relegation)