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Smedby vs Haninge

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Own Goal
13' Event
Dibba P.
33' Event
Maripuu N.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Svealand game between Smedby and Haninge finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Haninge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Smedby
35%
Draws
27%
Haninge
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Smedby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Smedby come out ahead of Haninge on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Svealand form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Haninge have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Smedby Clean Sheet 10%
Haninge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smedby Haninge
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 17 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.39 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Haninge
1:4
Sep 14, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Haninge vs Smedby
5:0
May 19, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Haninge
0:2
Aug 19, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Haninge
0:3
Apr 23, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Haninge vs Smedby
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smedby Compare

Top Goalscorer Sotra N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Haninge Compare

Top Goalscorer Dibba P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maripuu N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smedby 29 / 100
Haninge 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smedby Haninge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Smedby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Smedby scored in 94% of their last 31 outings.

Haninge let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Smedby has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Smedby VS Haninge
1.13 Goals Scored 2.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Smedby

(Home)
29 Aug
Smedby
3 : 1
Forward
22 Aug
Syrianska
2 : 2
Smedby
15 Aug
Smedby
1 : 0
Eker Orebro
08 Aug
Karlslund
1 : 1
Smedby
01 Aug
Smedby
2 : 0
Orebro Syrianska
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Haninge

(Away)
30 Aug
Haninge
6 : 1
Lindo FF
22 Aug
Haninge
2 : 2
Nykopings
15 Aug
Karlslund
3 : 0
Haninge
08 Aug
Haninge
2 : 2
Farsta
02 Aug
Fittja IF
0 : 2
Haninge
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sleipner 19 11 4 4 43:31 37
2 Farsta 19 11 3 5 42:21 36
3 Haninge 19 11 3 5 48:34 36
4 Forward 19 11 3 5 37:23 36
5 Smedby 19 10 4 5 38:25 34
6 Nykopings 19 10 3 6 31:21 33
7 Ragsved 19 8 5 6 36:31 29
8 Fittja IF 19 9 2 8 33:32 29
9 Karlslund 19 6 5 8 25:29 23
10 Orebro Syrianska 19 6 2 11 18:22 20
11 Lindo FF 19 5 2 12 26:36 17
12 Nacka FC 19 5 2 12 21:38 17
13 Syrianska 19 4 4 11 28:48 16
14 Eker Orebro 19 4 2 13 19:54 14
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Relegation)