Sport Picks
Smederevo vs Graficar Beograd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Serbia
Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 
AI Match Summary
Smederevo host Graficar Beograd in the Mozzart Bet Prva Liga. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Smederevo at 1.62 goals for, 1.21 against; Graficar Beograd at 1.03 for, 1.6 against. Head-to-head, Smederevo have won 2 to Graficar Beograd's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.19, favoring Smederevo. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Smederevo lately — more wins on the board than Graficar Beograd.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Smederevo taking it.
- Regular Mozzart Bet Prva Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Smederevo | Graficar Beograd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 9 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Graficar Beograd conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Smederevo's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Away concern: Graficar Beograd has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Smederevo
(Home)Graficar Beograd
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TSC Backa Topola | 15 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 35:16 | 33 |
| 2 | Javor | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 35:16 | 30 |
| 3 | Borac 1926 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 27:20 | 30 |
| 4 | Vrsac | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Smederevo | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22:16 | 25 |
| 6 | Dubocica | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | 22 |
| 7 | Napredak | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 14:15 | 22 |
| 8 | Loznica | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 19:21 | 20 |
| 9 | FK Vozdovac | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15:14 | 19 |
| 10 | Spartak Subotica | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 24:28 | 19 |
| 11 | Proleter 023 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 22:17 | 18 |
| 12 | Metalac | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 18:22 | 18 |
| 13 | Jedinstvo Ub | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 17:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Teleoptik | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 18:26 | 13 |
| 15 | Graficar Beograd | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 18:29 | 11 |
| 16 | OFK Bor 1919 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8:30 | 8 |
