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Smederevo vs TSC Backa Topola - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Serbian Cup Stadion FK Smederevo, Smederevo
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Mitrovic J.
38' Event
Stojsavljevic L.
44' Event
Popov A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Smederevo
15%
Draws
67%
TSC Backa Topola
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TSC Backa Topola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Smederevo haven't matched TSC Backa Topola's recent run of results.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on TSC Backa Topola taking it.
  • TSC Backa Topola arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor TSC Backa Topola, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Smederevo Clean Sheet 11%
TSC Backa Topola Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smederevo TSC Backa Topola
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.62 2.36
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2026 Mozzart Serbian Cup
Smederevo vs TSC Backa Topola
2:3
Aug 30, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
TSC Backa Topola vs Smederevo
1:1
Oct 18, 2023 Mozzart Serbian Cup
Smederevo vs TSC Backa Topola
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smederevo Compare

Top Goalscorer Mitrovic J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Popov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

TSC Backa Topola Compare

Top Goalscorer Stojsavljevic L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Petrovic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smederevo 10 / 100
TSC Backa Topola 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smederevo TSC Backa Topola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSC Backa Topola Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSC Backa Topola let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Smederevo found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Smederevo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Smederevo VS TSC Backa Topola
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Smederevo

(Home)
28 Oct
Smederevo
2 : 3
TSC Backa Topola
23 Oct
Dubocica
1 : 0
Smederevo
17 Oct
Smederevo
1 : 1
Proleter 023
12 Oct
Loznica
1 : 0
Smederevo
05 Oct
Smederevo
1 : 0
FK Vozdovac
Page 1 of 6

TSC Backa Topola

(Away)
28 Oct
Smederevo
2 : 3
TSC Backa Topola
23 Oct
Teleoptik
1 : 2
TSC Backa Topola
17 Oct
TSC Backa Topola
5 : 1
Metalac
11 Oct
OFK Bor 1919
1 : 4
TSC Backa Topola
05 Oct
TSC Backa Topola
4 : 1
Graficar Beograd
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Jedinstvo Krusevac 3
Trayal Krusevac 0
TBD -
Javor -
Dubocica -
TBD -
TBD -
Radnicki Nis -
Teleoptik -
TBD -
TBD -
Mladost Lucani -
FK Vozdovac -
TBD -
TBD -
Novi Pazar -
Mokra Gora 0
FAP 1
TBD -
Spartak Subotica -
Zemun -
TBD -
TBD -
Radnicki 1923 -
Vrsac -
TBD -
TBD -
OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet -
Tekstilac Odzaci -
TBD -
TBD -
Zeleznicar Pancevo -
Jedinstvo Ub -
TBD -
TBD -
Crvena zvezda -
Macva Sabac -
TBD -
TBD -
Napredak -
Graficar Beograd -
TBD -
TBD -
IMT Novi Beograd -
Sloven Ruma 2
Kabel Novi Sad 1
TBD -
Vojvodina -
Borac 1926 -
TBD -
TBD -
Radnik Surdulica -
Buducnost Krusik 3
Usce 1
TBD -
Partizan -
Smederevo -
TBD -
TBD -
TSC Backa Topola -
Loznica -
TBD -
TBD -
Cukaricki -
1/16-finals
Jedinstvo Krusevac 1
Javor 3
Dubocica -
Radnicki Nis -
Teleoptik 2
Mladost Lucani 1
FK Vozdovac 1
Novi Pazar 3
FAP 1
Spartak Subotica 0
Zemun -
Radnicki 1923 -
Vrsac 0
OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet 1
Tekstilac Odzaci -
Zeleznicar Pancevo -
Jedinstvo Ub 1
Crvena zvezda 5
Macva Sabac 2
Napredak 0
Graficar Beograd 2
IMT Novi Beograd 0
Sloven Ruma 1
Vojvodina 0
Borac 1926 1
Radnik Surdulica 2
Buducnost Krusik -
Partizan -
Smederevo 2
TSC Backa Topola 3
Loznica 1
Cukaricki 2
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -