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SMIavtotrans Smolevichi vs Gorki Prediction & H2H Stats

Belarus Belarus

Division 2 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Rubin V.
80' Event
Krutenko K.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group B game between SMIavtotrans Smolevichi and Gorki finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
15%
Draws
34%
Gorki
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SMIavtotrans Smolevichi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Gorki have managed 1.35 goals a game lately — SMIavtotrans Smolevichi are scoring more at 2.1.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on SMIavtotrans Smolevichi taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi Clean Sheet 10%
Gorki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SMIavtotrans Smolevichi Gorki
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 2.1 1.35
Goals Conceded 3.03 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi vs Gorki
1:1
Jun 13, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
Gorki vs SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SMIavtotrans Smolevichi Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubin V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Gorki Compare

Top Goalscorer Krutenko K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SMIavtotrans Smolevichi 47 / 100
Gorki 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi Gorki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SMIavtotrans Smolevichi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SMIavtotrans Smolevichi's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Gorki conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Gorki's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

SMIavtotrans Smolevichi VS Gorki
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SMIavtotrans Smolevichi

(Home)
24 Oct
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
4 : 3
Ivatsevichi
17 Oct
Ivatsevichi
6 : 4
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
10 Oct
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
2 : 6
ML Vitebsk
03 Oct
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
1 : 3
Osipovichi
26 Sept
Zhlobin
1 : 4
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
Page 1 of 6

Gorki

(Away)
31 May
Gorki
0 : 1
Ostrovets
28 May
Gorki
1 : 2
FK Baranovici
24 Oct
Gorki
2 : 1
Brest Malorita
17 Oct
Brest Malorita
6 : 0
Gorki
10 Oct
Gorki
1 : 1
BumProm Gomel
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dnepr Mogilev 20 19 0 1 105:9 57
2 Petrikov 20 16 1 3 80:16 49
3 Osipovichi 20 12 1 7 44:35 37
4 Gorki 20 10 5 5 35:21 35
5 Viktoria Maryina Gorka 20 9 4 7 43:37 31
6 ML Vitebsk 20 9 3 8 46:45 30
7 SMIavtotrans Smolevichi 20 8 2 10 45:53 26
8 BumProm Gomel 20 7 3 10 29:51 24
9 Polotsk 20 4 1 15 27:78 13
10 Energetik-BGATU 20 2 3 15 28:59 9
11 Zhlobin 20 2 1 17 14:92 7
Promotion - Division 2 - Promotion Group (Main)
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Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)