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SMIavtotrans Smolevichi vs Polotsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Division 2 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Silkin N.
29' Event
Batura A.
43' Event
Batura A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group B game between SMIavtotrans Smolevichi and Polotsk finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SMIavtotrans Smolevichi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
15%
Draws
28%
Polotsk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SMIavtotrans Smolevichi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • SMIavtotrans Smolevichi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans SMIavtotrans Smolevichi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi Clean Sheet 68%
Polotsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SMIavtotrans Smolevichi Polotsk
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 3 1
Losses 15 23
Goals Scored 2.1 1.23
Goals Conceded 3.03 4.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
Polotsk vs SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
0:3
Jun 20, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi vs Polotsk
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SMIavtotrans Smolevichi Compare

Top Goalscorer Batura A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Silkin N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Polotsk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SMIavtotrans Smolevichi 95 / 100
Polotsk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi Polotsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SMIavtotrans Smolevichi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 9:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Polotsk conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

SMIavtotrans Smolevichi's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Away concern: Polotsk has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SMIavtotrans Smolevichi VS Polotsk
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SMIavtotrans Smolevichi

(Home)
24 Oct
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
4 : 3
Ivatsevichi
17 Oct
Ivatsevichi
6 : 4
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
10 Oct
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
2 : 6
ML Vitebsk
03 Oct
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
1 : 3
Osipovichi
26 Sept
Zhlobin
1 : 4
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
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Polotsk

(Away)
27 May
Polotsk
0 : 2
Uni X Labs
21 May
Polotsk
0 : 5
FK Baranovici
29 May
Polotsk
0 : 14
Niva Dolbizno
29 May
Polotsk
0 : 9
ML Vitebsk
24 Oct
Polotsk
3 : 0
Pershiy Region
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dnepr Mogilev 20 19 0 1 105:9 57
2 Petrikov 20 16 1 3 80:16 49
3 Osipovichi 20 12 1 7 44:35 37
4 Gorki 20 10 5 5 35:21 35
5 Viktoria Maryina Gorka 20 9 4 7 43:37 31
6 ML Vitebsk 20 9 3 8 46:45 30
7 SMIavtotrans Smolevichi 20 8 2 10 45:53 26
8 BumProm Gomel 20 7 3 10 29:51 24
9 Polotsk 20 4 1 15 27:78 13
10 Energetik-BGATU 20 2 3 15 28:59 9
11 Zhlobin 20 2 1 17 14:92 7
Promotion - Division 2 - Promotion Group (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Promotion Group (Main)
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Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)