Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Smitshoek vs Lisse

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker 2024/2025
Tue, Sep 3, 2024
1 - 2
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Urban N.
67' Event
van der Putten R.
1' Event
van der Putten R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Lisse advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Smitshoek
15%
Draws
59%
Lisse
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lisse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Lisse carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lisse a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Lisse arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lisse, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Lisse have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Smitshoek Clean Sheet 18%
Lisse Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smitshoek Lisse
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 6 25
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 1.6 1.81
Goals Conceded 2.73 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
Smitshoek vs Lisse
2:2
Sep 14, 2024 Derde Divisie
Lisse vs Smitshoek
2:1
Sep 3, 2024 KNVB Beker
Smitshoek vs Lisse
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smitshoek Compare

Top Goalscorer Urban N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Lisse Compare

Top Goalscorer van der Putten R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smitshoek 10 / 100
Lisse 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smitshoek Lisse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lisse Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smitshoek found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Defensive concern: Lisse conceded in 59% of 37 recent games.

Smitshoek has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lisse
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Smitshoek

(Home)
02 Aug
Barendrecht
2 : 1
Smitshoek
24 May
Smitshoek
1 : 5
VV Kloetinge
17 May
UNA
1 : 2
Smitshoek
10 May
Smitshoek
2 : 9
VVSB
03 May
Kozakken Boys
7 : 1
Smitshoek
Page 1 of 6

Lisse

(Away)
26 Sept
Lisse
1 : 1
EVV
19 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0
Lisse
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2
TOGB
05 Sept
VVSB
1 : 2
Lisse
01 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 1
Lisse
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
De Graafschap -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
Sparta Nijkerk 6
Laar 0
Achilles Veen 2
Harkemase Boys 1
HV & CV Quick 4
UNA 1
Capelle 3
HSC '21 1
Gemert 4
Excelsior 31 0
Winterswijk 2
CVV Blauw Wit 34 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heracles -
Nijmegen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zwolle -
Waalwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
Den Haag -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambuur -
AFC -
TBD -
TBD -
GVVV -
RKAV Volendam -
TBD -
VV Heerjansdam 1
Blauw Geel 4
SV Juliana 31 4
Geldrop 2
Smitshoek 1
Lisse 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Utrecht -
AZ Alkmaar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
DEM 1
Ajax (Am) 2
HBC 3
Kolping Boys 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Groningen -
Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telstar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Helmond Sport -
Quick Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Almere City -
De Treffers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
Kozakken Boys 1
VVSB 2
VV Kloetinge 1
KVV Quick 20 2
ASWH 3
SVBO 1
TBD -
Hardenberg -
ACV Assen -
TBD -
SteDoCo 2
IJsselmeervogels 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heerenveen -
PSV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SV Poortugaal 3
ONS Sneek 1
TBD -
Koninklijke HFC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Emmen -
EVV 0
RKVV Zwaluw 1
Rijnvogels 2
Forum Sport 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eindhoven FC -
Excelsior -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Venlo -
Rijnsburgse Boys -
TBD -
Rohda Raalte 0
Sportlust 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Roda -
FC 's-Gravenzande 0
RKAVV Leidschendam 2
VV DOVO 2
SVV Scheveningen 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Maastricht -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Bosch -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Feyenoord -
GOES 2
USV Hercules 4
Huizen 1
Excelsior Maassluis 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
Spakenburg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Katwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
TOGB 0
VV Noordwijk 4
HSV Hoek 2
Putten 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dordrecht -
Meerssen 0
Genemuiden 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk 2
Schaijk 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Willem II -
HVV Hollandia 0
RKSV UDI 19 1
De Bilt 2
Eemdijk 4
DVS '33 Ermelo 1
OJC Rosmalen 2
Elinkwijk 1
Olde Veste 2
Barendrecht -
TBD -
TEC 4
Urk 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
NAC Breda -
1/64-finals
De Graafschap -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
Sparta Nijkerk 4
Achilles Veen 2
HV & CV Quick 0
Capelle 3
Gemert 0
Winterswijk 2
TBD -
Heracles -
Nijmegen -
TBD -
TBD -
Zwolle -
Waalwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
Den Haag -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambuur -
AFC 3
GVVV 0
RKAV Volendam 2
Blauw Geel 3
SV Juliana 31 1
Lisse 2
TBD -
Utrecht -
AZ Alkmaar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajax (Am) 1
Kolping Boys 2
TBD -
Groningen -
Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telstar -
TBD -
TBD -
Helmond Sport -
Quick Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
Almere City -
De Treffers -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
VVSB 1
KVV Quick 20 2
ASWH 1
Hardenberg 0
ACV Assen 2
IJsselmeervogels 5
TBD -
Heerenveen -
PSV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SV Poortugaal 1
Koninklijke HFC 3
TBD -
FC Emmen -
RKVV Zwaluw 1
Rijnvogels 4
TBD -
Eindhoven FC -
Excelsior -
TBD -
TBD -
Venlo -
Rijnsburgse Boys 1
Sportlust 0
TBD -
Roda -
RKAVV Leidschendam 0
VV DOVO 1
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Maastricht -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Bosch -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Feyenoord -
USV Hercules 3
Excelsior Maassluis 2
TBD -
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
Spakenburg -
TBD -
TBD -
Katwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
VV Noordwijk 2
HSV Hoek 0
TBD -
Dordrecht -
Genemuiden 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk 0
TBD -
Willem II -
RKSV UDI 19 1
Eemdijk 2
OJC Rosmalen 2
Olde Veste 1
Barendrecht 4
TEC 0
TBD -
NAC Breda -
1/32-finals
De Graafschap 4
TOP Oss 1
Sparta Nijkerk 5
Capelle 1
Winterswijk 0
Heracles 1
Nijmegen 4
Zwolle 3
Waalwijk 3
Vitesse 1
Den Haag 1
Cambuur 4
AFC 3
Blauw Geel 1
Lisse 1
Utrecht 2
AZ Alkmaar -
TBD -
Kolping Boys 1
Groningen 5
Ajax -
TBD -
Telstar 3
Helmond Sport 0
Quick Boys 3
Almere City 0
De Treffers 1
Sittard 4
KVV Quick 20 0
ASWH 2
IJsselmeervogels 2
Heerenveen 3
PSV -
TBD -
Koninklijke HFC 1
FC Emmen 0
Rijnvogels 0
Eindhoven FC 7
Excelsior 2
Venlo 1
Rijnsburgse Boys 3
Roda 1
VV DOVO 1
FC Volendam 5
Maastricht 2
Den Bosch 1
TBD -
Feyenoord -
USV Hercules 1
Sparta Rotterdam 6
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
Spakenburg 2
Katwijk 4
TBD -
Twente -
VV Noordwijk 2
Dordrecht 1
Genemuiden 2
Willem II 3
Eemdijk 2
OJC Rosmalen 1
Barendrecht 2
NAC Breda 1
1/16-finals
De Graafschap 4
Sparta Nijkerk 0
Heracles 1
Nijmegen 0
Waalwijk 4
Cambuur 1
AFC 0
Utrecht 8
AZ Alkmaar 3
Groningen 1
Ajax 2
Telstar 0
Quick Boys 3
Sittard 1
ASWH 0
Heerenveen 1
PSV 8
Koninklijke HFC 0
Eindhoven FC 1
Excelsior 3
Rijnsburgse Boys 2
FC Volendam 0
Maastricht 1
Feyenoord 2
Sparta Rotterdam 1
G.A. Eagles 2
Katwijk 2
Twente 3
VV Noordwijk 2
Willem II 1
Eemdijk 1
Barendrecht 6
1/8-finals
De Graafschap 0
Heracles 2
Waalwijk 1
Utrecht 2
AZ Alkmaar 2
Ajax 0
Quick Boys 3
Heerenveen 2
PSV 5
Excelsior 4
Rijnsburgse Boys 1
Feyenoord 4
G.A. Eagles 3
Twente 1
VV Noordwijk 1
Barendrecht 0
Quarter-finals
Heracles 2
Utrecht 0
AZ Alkmaar 3
Quick Boys 1
PSV 2
Feyenoord 0
G.A. Eagles 3
VV Noordwijk 1
Semi-finals
Heracles 2
AZ Alkmaar 3
PSV 1
G.A. Eagles 2
Final
AZ Alkmaar 1
G.A. Eagles 2