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Smitshoek vs SteDoCo

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
El Hankouri R.
62' Event
van Haaren D.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2024/2025 game between Smitshoek and SteDoCo finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SteDoCo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Smitshoek
20%
Draws
50%
SteDoCo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SteDoCo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SteDoCo come out ahead of Smitshoek on wins alone.
  • Model gives SteDoCo a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Smitshoek Clean Sheet 20%
SteDoCo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smitshoek SteDoCo
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 6 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 1.6 1.11
Goals Conceded 2.73 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Derde Divisie
Smitshoek vs SteDoCo
0:2
Oct 26, 2024 Derde Divisie
SteDoCo vs Smitshoek
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smitshoek Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

SteDoCo Compare

Top Goalscorer El Hankouri R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader van Haaren D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smitshoek 10 / 100
SteDoCo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smitshoek SteDoCo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SteDoCo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Smitshoek scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

SteDoCo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 36 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Smitshoek remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS SteDoCo
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Smitshoek

(Home)
02 Aug
Barendrecht
2 : 1
Smitshoek
24 May
Smitshoek
1 : 5
VV Kloetinge
17 May
UNA
1 : 2
Smitshoek
10 May
Smitshoek
2 : 9
VVSB
03 May
Kozakken Boys
7 : 1
Smitshoek
Page 1 of 6

SteDoCo

(Away)
06 Jun
EVV
1 : 1
SteDoCo
03 Jun
SteDoCo
0 : 1
EVV
30 May
SteDoCo
3 : 1
FC 's-Gravenzande
27 May
FC 's-Gravenzande
1 : 1
SteDoCo
23 May
SteDoCo
1 : 5
VV Kloetinge
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IJsselmeervogels 34 26 4 4 98:35 82
2 Harkemase Boys 34 21 7 6 74:46 70
3 Sportlust 34 20 7 7 78:37 67
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 19 8 7 78:52 65
5 Sparta Nijkerk 34 16 10 8 68:50 58
6 USV Hercules 34 16 6 12 65:56 54
7 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 43:39 52
8 Genemuiden 34 13 9 12 52:44 48
9 Urk 34 15 2 17 56:67 47
10 Eemdijk 34 11 10 13 64:66 43
11 TEC 34 11 9 14 46:56 42
12 Rohda Raalte 34 11 7 16 63:68 40
13 HSC '21 34 12 4 18 50:66 40
14 Huizen 34 10 6 18 44:62 36
15 Excelsior 31 34 9 9 16 46:71 36
16 Ajax (Am) 34 9 8 17 48:64 35
17 DEM 34 8 6 20 43:85 30
18 HBC 34 1 7 26 40:92 10
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HSV Hoek 34 20 10 4 77:33 70
2 Kozakken Boys 34 19 7 8 72:29 64
3 Blauw Geel 34 19 7 8 73:45 64
4 VV Kloetinge 34 18 7 9 66:42 61
5 Gemert 34 17 7 10 57:50 58
6 Lisse 34 15 9 10 55:41 54
7 UNA 34 15 8 11 51:48 53
8 VVSB 34 15 6 13 61:61 51
9 SteDoCo 34 13 9 12 57:46 48
10 Meerssen 34 13 6 15 44:50 45
11 Rijnvogels 34 13 6 15 63:72 45
12 ASWH 34 12 6 16 59:73 42
13 TOGB 34 11 8 15 55:53 41
14 GOES 34 9 12 13 53:65 39
15 OJC Rosmalen 34 11 6 17 45:58 39
16 FC 's-Gravenzande 34 9 7 18 51:69 34
17 Smitshoek 34 6 7 21 53:94 25
18 HV & CV Quick 34 5 4 25 42:105 19
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)