Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Smorgon vs BATE 2

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Yunost Stadium, Smorgon
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Titov M.
43' Event
Dukso M.
Assist: Fartuna B.
46'
Sub
Kolosovskiy P. In: Sakhonchik A.
Out: Kolosovskiy P.

AI Match Summary

Smorgon in this Pershaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Smorgon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Smorgon
20%
Draws
40%
BATE 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Smorgon lately — more wins on the board than BATE 2.
  • Smorgon are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Smorgon Clean Sheet 16%
BATE 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smorgon BATE 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.48 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs BATE 2
2:0
Apr 10, 2026 Pershaya Liga
BATE 2 vs Smorgon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smorgon Compare

Top Goalscorer Dukso M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nsangou J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

BATE 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smorgon 57 / 100
BATE 2 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smorgon BATE 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Smorgon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: BATE 2 conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Smorgon found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Smorgon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Smorgon VS BATE 2
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Smorgon

(Home)
06 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 1
Slutsk
30 Aug
Din. Minsk 2
3 : 2
Smorgon
22 Aug
Smorgon
0 : 1
Ostrovets
16 Aug
FC Slonim
0 : 2
Smorgon
10 Aug
Smorgon
2 : 0
BATE 2
Page 1 of 6

BATE 2

(Away)
04 Sept
Molodechno
3 : 0
BATE 2
29 Aug
BATE 2
2 : 2
FC Gomel 2
21 Aug
Orsha
1 : 2
BATE 2
16 Aug
BATE 2
5 : 3
Volna Pinsk
10 Aug
Smorgon
2 : 0
BATE 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niva Dolbizno 23 15 3 5 61:29 48
2 FK Lida 23 14 3 6 44:36 45
3 Slutsk 22 13 5 4 43:23 44
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 23 13 5 5 45:27 44
5 Molodechno 23 13 2 8 41:34 41
6 FC Slonim 22 11 3 8 40:28 36
7 Volna Pinsk 23 10 4 9 39:40 34
8 BumProm Gomel 23 10 4 9 42:35 34
9 Din. Minsk 2 23 9 4 10 41:37 31
10 Soligorsk 23 8 6 9 44:42 30
11 FC Minsk 2 23 9 2 12 33:42 29
12 Ostrovets 22 6 9 7 27:31 27
13 Uni X Labs 23 6 7 10 23:30 25
14 Orsha 22 7 4 11 25:40 25
15 Smorgon 22 6 5 11 26:33 23
16 FC Gomel 2 22 5 6 11 30:39 21
17 BATE 2 23 4 6 13 31:54 18
18 Osipovichi 23 5 2 16 24:59 17
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
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