Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Smorgon vs Mikashevichi

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Zenko N.
(Penalty)
19'
Sub
Borisenko V. In: Saenko D.
Out: Borisenko V.
44' Event
Khalimonchikov D.

AI Match Summary

Smorgon in this Pershaya Liga 2020 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Smorgon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Smorgon
20%
Draws
10%
Mikashevichi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Smorgon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Smorgon have won more games recently than Mikashevichi.
  • Win probability leans Smorgon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Smorgon Clean Sheet 20%
Mikashevichi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smorgon Mikashevichi
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.61 1
Goals Conceded 1.45 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2020 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs Mikashevichi
5:0
Jun 13, 2020 Pershaya Liga
Mikashevichi vs Smorgon
1:0
Nov 16, 2019 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs Mikashevichi
0:3
Jul 13, 2019 Pershaya Liga
Mikashevichi vs Smorgon
3:1
Oct 13, 2018 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs Mikashevichi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smorgon Compare

Top Goalscorer Zenko N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Khalimonchikov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Mikashevichi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smorgon 85 / 100
Mikashevichi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smorgon Mikashevichi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Smorgon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mikashevichi conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Smorgon scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Smorgon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Smorgon VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Smorgon

(Home)
19 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
12 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 2
Smorgon
06 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 1
Slutsk
30 Aug
Din. Minsk 2
3 : 2
Smorgon
22 Aug
Smorgon
0 : 1
Ostrovets
Page 1 of 7

Mikashevichi

(Away)
21 Nov
Lokomotiv Gomel
4 : 0
Mikashevichi
15 Nov
Mikashevichi
1 : 2
Krumkachy
07 Nov
Mikashevichi
1 : 4
FC Gomel
31 Oct
Chimik Svetlogorsk
0 : 0
Mikashevichi
25 Oct
Mikashevichi
1 : 2
Naftan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sputnik 26 19 4 3 50:18 61
2 FC Gomel 26 18 5 3 60:20 54
3 Krumkachy 26 16 4 6 46:28 52
4 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 26 13 7 6 41:28 46
5 Lokomotiv Gomel 26 13 6 7 56:38 45
6 Smorgon 26 10 6 10 29:26 36
7 FK Lida 26 9 7 10 37:42 31
8 FC Slonim 26 8 6 12 22:32 30
9 Volna Pinsk 26 7 6 13 41:52 27
10 Oshmyany 26 6 8 12 35:43 26
11 Orsha 26 7 6 13 30:42 24
12 Naftan 26 10 6 10 36:43 21
13 Mikashevichi 26 4 5 17 21:52 17
14 Chimik Svetlogorsk 26 2 4 20 12:52 1
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2021 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2020 (Relegation - Play Offs)