Sport Picks
Smorgon vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk
Belarus
Vysshaya Liga 2024 Yunost Stadium, Smorgon 
Match Events
12'
12'
Guibero R.
Assist: Azarko M.
45'
45'
Burko M.
46'
46'
Sub
Denisyuk A. In: Grivenev E.
Out: Denisyuk A.
AI Match Summary
Smorgon in this Vysshaya Liga 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Smorgon.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
20%
10%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Smorgon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Smorgon have won more games recently than Shakhtyor Soligorsk.
- Win probability leans Smorgon's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Vysshaya Liga 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Smorgon Clean Sheet 68%
Shakhtyor Soligorsk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Smorgon | Shakhtyor Soligorsk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 4 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 0.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 19, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Smorgon vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk
2:0
May 26, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs Smorgon
2:2
Oct 6, 2023 Vysshaya Liga
Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs Smorgon
2:0
May 21, 2023 Vysshaya Liga
Smorgon vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk
1:3
Aug 15, 2021 Vysshaya Liga
Smorgon vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Smorgon Compare
Top Goalscorer Guibero R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86
Shakhtyor Soligorsk Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Smorgon 95 / 100
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Smorgon Shakhtyor Soligorsk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Smorgon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Smorgon scored in 74% of their last 31 games.
Shakhtyor Soligorsk has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Smorgon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Smorgon VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Smorgon
(Home) 25 Sept
FK Lida
2 : 1 Smorgon
19 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 0 Niva Dolbizno
12 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 2 Smorgon
06 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 1 Slutsk
30 Aug
Din. Minsk 2
3 : 2 Smorgon
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 0 Niva Dolbizno
06 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 1 Slutsk
22 Aug
Smorgon
0 : 1 Ostrovets
10 Aug
Smorgon
2 : 0 BATE 2
25 Jul
Smorgon
2 : 0 FC Gomel 2
Page 1 of 3
Shakhtyor Soligorsk
(Away) 01 Dec
Shakhtyor Soligorsk
1 : 2 Dnepr Mogilev
26 Nov
Zhodino
1 : 0 Shakhtyor Soligorsk
10 Nov
Shakhtyor Soligorsk
1 : 2 FC Gomel
03 Nov
Naftan
0 : 0 Shakhtyor Soligorsk
27 Oct
Shakhtyor Soligorsk
0 : 1 FC Minsk
Page 1 of 6
26 Nov
Zhodino
1 : 0 Shakhtyor Soligorsk
03 Nov
Naftan
0 : 0 Shakhtyor Soligorsk
19 Oct
Smorgon
2 : 0 Shakhtyor Soligorsk
27 Sept
BATE
1 : 1 Shakhtyor Soligorsk
13 Sept
Slutsk
0 : 0 Shakhtyor Soligorsk
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Din. Minsk | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 50:13 | 68 |
| 2 | Neman | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 45:19 | 65 |
| 3 | Zhodino | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 45:21 | 62 |
| 4 | Dynamo Brest | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 62:37 | 49 |
| 5 | Vitebsk | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 33:25 | 47 |
| 6 | FC Gomel | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 37:28 | 44 |
| 7 | Isloch Minsk | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 36:30 | 41 |
| 8 | BATE | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:38 | 40 |
| 9 | Slutsk | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 26:41 | 39 |
| 10 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 29:36 | 38 |
| 11 | Slavia Mozyr | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 28:33 | 35 |
| 12 | Smorgon | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 33:51 | 32 |
| 13 | FC Minsk | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 28:44 | 28 |
| 14 | Naftan | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 27:44 | 26 |
| 15 | Dnepr Mogilev | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 27:58 | 18 |
| 16 | Shakhtyor Soligorsk | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 19:45 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga 2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2025 (Main)
