Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Smorgon W vs Din. Minsk W

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Women Yunost Stadium
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Smorgon W play Din. Minsk W in the Vysshaya Liga Women. Din. Minsk W are favorites here. Recently, Smorgon W averaged 0.17 goals scored and 8.55 conceded. Din. Minsk W averaged 4.26 goals scored and 0.74 conceded. In past meetings, Smorgon W won 0, Din. Minsk W won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 15, 2024 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.51 for Smorgon W and 4.00 for Din. Minsk W. This points to a Din. Minsk W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Smorgon W
15%
Draws
76%
Din. Minsk W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Din. Minsk W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Smorgon W picked up more points recently compared to Din. Minsk W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.51 vs 4.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25%
Smorgon W Clean Sheet 10%
Din. Minsk W Clean Sheet 22%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smorgon W Din. Minsk W
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 1 29
Draws 1 1
Losses 27 5
Goals Scored 0.17 4.26
Goals Conceded 8.55 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2024 Vysshaya Liga Women
Smorgon W vs Din. Minsk W
0:3
Jun 15, 2024 Vysshaya Liga Women
Smorgon W vs Din. Minsk W
0:18
Mar 23, 2024 Vysshaya Liga Women
Din. Minsk W vs Smorgon W
12:0
Oct 1, 2023 Vysshaya Liga Women
Din. Minsk W vs Smorgon W
2:0
Jul 2, 2023 Vysshaya Liga Women
Smorgon W vs Din. Minsk W
0:7

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smorgon W 10 / 100
Din. Minsk W 73 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smorgon W Din. Minsk W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Din. Minsk W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Din. Minsk W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +800%
100.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.4%
1.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Smorgon W attacking → ← attacking Din. Minsk W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smorgon W scored in 10% of their last 29 games.

Din. Minsk W let in goals in 49% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 8.40 goals.

Smorgon W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Din. Minsk W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

4 Points in last 5 88
0.13 Goals expected (xG) 3.63
5.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Minsk FK W990042:427
2Dynamo Brest W980132:324
3Naftan W970233:1121
4Dnepr Mogilev W961241:819
5Din. Minsk W960328:818
6Vitebsk W951314:1016
7SKA-1938 Minsk W940516:1112
8Belarus U19 W92169:327
9FC Gomel W92164:417
10Belshina W920714:306
11Dyussh-Polesgu W91084:303
12Smorgon W90091:500