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Stadium Background

Smorgon W vs Dnepr Mogilev W

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Women Yunost Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Stezhko D.
60'
Sub
Nestyukovich T. In: Domin Y.
Out: Nestyukovich T.
60'
Sub
Pushkar M. In: Bysik A.
Out: Pushkar M.

AI Match Summary

Dnepr Mogilev W in this Vysshaya Liga Women matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dnepr Mogilev W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Smorgon W
6%
Draws
90%
Dnepr Mogilev W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dnepr Mogilev W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dnepr Mogilev W have won more games recently than Smorgon W.
  • Model gives Dnepr Mogilev W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dnepr Mogilev W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.2%
Smorgon W Clean Sheet 10%
Dnepr Mogilev W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smorgon W Dnepr Mogilev W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 1 20
Draws 0 4
Losses 28 7
Goals Scored 0.13 5
Goals Conceded 5.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 5.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Vysshaya Liga Women
Smorgon W vs Dnepr Mogilev W
0:4
Oct 12, 2024 Vysshaya Liga Women
Smorgon W vs Dnepr Mogilev W
0:12
Aug 24, 2024 Vysshaya Liga Women
Smorgon W vs Dnepr Mogilev W
0:9
Jun 1, 2024 Vysshaya Liga Women
Dnepr Mogilev W vs Smorgon W
8:0
Sep 9, 2023 Vysshaya Liga Women
Dnepr Mogilev W vs Smorgon W
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smorgon W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Dnepr Mogilev W Compare

Top Goalscorer Stezhko D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Bysik A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 4.55
Avg xA / game 2.78

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smorgon W 10 / 100
Dnepr Mogilev W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smorgon W Dnepr Mogilev W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DNE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 8.20 goals when they meet.

Smorgon W's goal record stands at 7% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Dnepr Mogilev W let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Smorgon W VS Dnepr Mogilev W
0.13 Goals Scored 5
5.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Minsk FK W10100054:430
2Dynamo Brest W1090133:327
3Dnepr Mogilev W1071242:822
4Din. Minsk W1070337:821
5Naftan W1070333:1221
6Vitebsk W1061321:1019
7SKA-1938 Minsk W1150619:1315
8Belarus U19 W1122711:368
9Belshina W1021715:317
10FC Gomel W102174:487
11Dyussh-Polesgu W101094:423
12Smorgon W1000101:590