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Smorgon W vs Vitebsk W

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Women Yunost Stadium
Sun, Jul 19, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Smorgon W host Vitebsk W in the Vysshaya Liga Women. Vitebsk W go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Smorgon W at 0.13 goals for, 5.5 against; Vitebsk W at 1.63 for, 1.25 against. Head-to-head, Smorgon W have won 2 to Vitebsk W's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 2, 2024, ending 0:14. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 3.56, favoring Vitebsk W. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Smorgon W
6%
Draws
90%
Vitebsk W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vitebsk W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vitebsk W have won more games recently than Smorgon W.
  • Vitebsk W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Smorgon W Clean Sheet 10%
Vitebsk W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smorgon W Vitebsk W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 1 21
Draws 0 2
Losses 28 8
Goals Scored 0.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 5.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 Vysshaya Liga Women
Smorgon W vs Vitebsk W
0:14
Aug 4, 2024 Vysshaya Liga Women
Vitebsk W vs Smorgon W
12:0
May 9, 2024 Vysshaya Liga Women
Smorgon W vs Vitebsk W
0:10
Nov 4, 2023 Vysshaya Liga Women
Smorgon W vs Vitebsk W
3:0
Jul 22, 2023 Vysshaya Liga Women
Smorgon W vs Vitebsk W
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smorgon W 10 / 100
Vitebsk W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smorgon W Vitebsk W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 8.40 goals per match.

Smorgon W found the back of the net in 7% of recent matches (29 games).

Vitebsk W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 31 matches.

Away concern: Vitebsk W has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Smorgon W VS Vitebsk W
0.13 Goals Scored 1.63
5.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Minsk FK W10100054:430
2Dynamo Brest W1090133:327
3Dnepr Mogilev W1071242:822
4Din. Minsk W1070337:821
5Naftan W1070333:1221
6Vitebsk W1061321:1019
7SKA-1938 Minsk W1040616:1212
8Belarus U19 W1022610:338
9Belshina W1021715:317
10FC Gomel W102174:487
11Dyussh-Polesgu W101094:423
12Smorgon W1000101:590