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Stadium Background

Smouha vs Al Ittihad Alexandria

Egypt Egypt

League Cup Alexandria Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Isaac S.
39'
El Sisi A.
54'
Sherif M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League Cup matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Smouha
6%
Draws
90%
Al Ittihad Alexandria
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Ittihad Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Ittihad Alexandria haven't matched Smouha's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Al Ittihad Alexandria a 90% chance of winning this.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal League Cup game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Smouha Clean Sheet 20%
Al Ittihad Alexandria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smouha Al Ittihad Alexandria
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 6 12
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.71 1
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.43 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2026 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Smouha
1:0
Dec 20, 2025 League Cup
Smouha vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
0:0
May 16, 2025 Premier League
Smouha vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
0:0
Mar 4, 2025 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Smouha
0:1
May 14, 2024 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Smouha
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smouha 10 / 100
Al Ittihad Alexandria 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smouha Al Ittihad Alexandria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Smouha scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Al Ittihad Alexandria has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Al Ittihad Alexandria lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Smouha VS Al Ittihad Alexandria
0.71 Goals Scored 1
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.38
71% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Gaish64117:313
2Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)63219:511
3Enppi63127:510
4Pharco FC63038:109
5Ghazl El Mahallah62224:48
6Al Ahly62047:96
7Ceramica Cleopatra61052:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Petrojet650115:515
2El Gouna641110:513
3Wadi Degla631212:610
4National Bank Egypt614111:77
5El Ismaily61235:75
6Modern Sport61233:75
7Pyramids61053:223
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Masry63215:311
2ZED FC63126:410
3Al Ittihad Alexandria61505:28
4Kahrabaa Ismailia615012:118
5Smouha62224:58
6Zamalek62137:97
7Haras El Hodood60244:92