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SNIM vs Douane Prediction & H2H Stats

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
SNIM
30%
Draws
39%
Douane
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Douane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Douane have won more games recently than SNIM.
  • Win probability leans SNIM's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
SNIM Clean Sheet 19%
Douane Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SNIM Douane
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 9 14
Draws 13 11
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.06 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Ligue 1
SNIM vs Douane
0:0
Dec 2, 2025 Ligue 1
Douane vs SNIM
2:1
Mar 15, 2025 Ligue 1
Douane vs SNIM
2:1
Nov 8, 2024 Ligue 1
SNIM vs Douane
0:0
Mar 31, 2024 Ligue 1
Douane vs SNIM
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SNIM 40 / 100
Douane 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SNIM Douane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SNIM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SNIM scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Douane let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: SNIM stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SNIM VS Douane
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SNIM

(Home)
24 May
Nouakchott Academy
2 : 1
SNIM
20 May
Tevragh-Zeina
0 : 2
SNIM
11 May
SNIM
0 : 1
Pompiers
06 May
Inter Nouakchott
2 : 1
SNIM
29 Apr
SNIM
0 : 0
Douane
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Douane

(Away)
19 Sept
Hafia
0 : 1
Douane
05 Sept
Douane
2 : 2
Hafia
25 May
Nzeidane
3 : 0
Douane
19 May
Douane
0 : 1
Gendrim
09 May
Kaedi
1 : 1
Douane
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)