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SOAR vs Horoya

Guinea Guinea

Ligue 1 2024/2025
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AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2024/2025 game between SOAR and Horoya finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Horoya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
SOAR
15%
Draws
51%
Horoya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Horoya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • SOAR haven't matched Horoya's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Horoya's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Horoya have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
SOAR Clean Sheet 19%
Horoya Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SOAR Horoya
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 5 23
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 0.63 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.8 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2025 Ligue 1
SOAR vs Horoya
0:5
Jan 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Horoya vs SOAR
3:1
Jun 28, 2024 Ligue 1
SOAR vs Horoya
2:1
Apr 6, 2024 Ligue 1
Horoya vs SOAR
1:0
May 28, 2023 Ligue 1
Horoya vs SOAR
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SOAR 28 / 100
Horoya 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SOAR Horoya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Horoya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: SOAR scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Horoya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 38 matches.

SOAR went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Horoya
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SOAR

(Home)
01 Jul
Hafia
4 : 1
SOAR
26 Jun
SOAR
3 : 1
Kaloum Star
21 Jun
SOAR
1 : 0
RCC Kamsar
18 Jun
Foot Elite
4 : 2
SOAR
15 Jun
Sangaredi
1 : 0
SOAR
Page 1 of 6

Horoya

(Away)
13 Sept
Horoya
3 : 1
Saoura
04 Sept
Saoura
1 : 0
Horoya
22 Apr
CI Kamsar
3 : 0
Horoya
17 Apr
Horoya
2 : 1
Wakriya AC
11 Apr
Horoya
2 : 1
Hafia
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Horoya 26 16 7 3 40:13 55
2 Hafia 26 12 9 5 36:18 45
3 Renaissance 26 11 10 5 26:17 43
4 Ashanti GB (SAG) 26 11 7 8 28:24 40
5 RCC Kamsar 26 8 12 6 29:24 36
6 CI Kamsar 26 9 8 9 33:29 35
7 Milo FC 26 9 7 10 40:34 34
8 Wakriya AC 26 8 8 10 32:35 32
9 Kaloum Star 26 9 5 12 23:29 32
10 Sangaredi 26 8 8 10 20:28 32
11 Loubha 26 8 7 11 24:30 31
12 Foot Elite 26 7 10 9 28:40 31
13 Flamme Olympique 26 6 12 8 22:24 30
14 SOAR 26 3 4 19 14:50 13
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)