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Stadium Background

Sobec Lesce vs Fama Vipava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Mitric S.
Own Goal
16' Event
Mlakar R.
42' Event
Bjelkic D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - West game between Sobec Lesce and Fama Vipava finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fama Vipava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Sobec Lesce
15%
Draws
73%
Fama Vipava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fama Vipava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Fama Vipava carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Fama Vipava are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sobec Lesce Clean Sheet 12%
Fama Vipava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sobec Lesce Fama Vipava
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 6 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.87 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Fama Vipava
2:3
Apr 12, 2026 3. SNL - West
Fama Vipava vs Sobec Lesce
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Fama Vipava
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Fama Vipava
2:1
Oct 6, 2024 3. SNL - West
Fama Vipava vs Sobec Lesce
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sobec Lesce Compare

Top Goalscorer Mlakar R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Fama Vipava Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunic T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sobec Lesce 22 / 100
Fama Vipava 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sobec Lesce Fama Vipava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fama Vipava Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fama Vipava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Away concern: Fama Vipava has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Sobec Lesce found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Sobec Lesce VS Fama Vipava
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Sobec Lesce

(Home)
03 Oct
Dob
3 : 0
Sobec Lesce
26 Sept
Sobec Lesce
2 : 3
Fama Vipava
19 Sept
Adria Miren
2 : 0
Sobec Lesce
12 Sept
Sobec Lesce
1 : 1
Litija
05 Sept
IB 1975 Ljubljana
4 : 1
Sobec Lesce
Page 1 of 7

Fama Vipava

(Away)
04 Oct
Fama Vipava
0 : 4
Litija
26 Sept
Sobec Lesce
2 : 3
Fama Vipava
20 Sept
Fama Vipava
2 : 3
Zidgrad Idrija
12 Sept
Ljubljana Svoboda
3 : 5
Fama Vipava
06 Sept
Fama Vipava
2 : 3
Rudar Trbovlje
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izola 8 8 0 0 36:5 24
2 Dob 8 6 1 1 21:6 19
3 Zidgrad Idrija 8 5 1 2 13:11 16
4 Tolmin 8 4 3 1 18:10 15
5 Sencur 8 4 3 1 17:11 15
6 Litija 8 4 2 2 15:7 14
7 Skofja Loka 8 3 3 2 15:17 12
8 Rudar Trbovlje 8 3 1 4 11:18 10
9 Adria Miren 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
10 IB 1975 Ljubljana 8 2 1 5 8:14 7
11 Ziri 8 1 4 3 8:12 7
12 Fama Vipava 8 2 0 6 13:34 6
13 Sobec Lesce 8 0 3 5 6:16 3
14 Ljubljana Svoboda 8 0 1 7 5:21 1
Promotion - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)