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Sobec Lesce vs Sencur - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sobec Lesce host Sencur in the 3. SNL - West. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Sobec Lesce have averaged 0.87 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Sencur's 1.77 scored and 1.26 conceded. Past meetings favor Sencur slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.31 - 1.63) back Sencur to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Sobec Lesce
20%
Draws
73%
Sencur
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sencur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sencur come out ahead of Sobec Lesce on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sencur a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sobec Lesce Clean Sheet 14%
Sencur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sobec Lesce Sencur
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 6 17
Draws 9 7
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.87 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 3. SNL - West
Sencur vs Sobec Lesce
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Sencur
0:3
Apr 12, 2025 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Sencur
3:2
Sep 27, 2024 3. SNL - West
Sencur vs Sobec Lesce
1:2
Apr 12, 2024 3. SNL - West
Sencur vs Sobec Lesce
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sobec Lesce 10 / 100
Sencur 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sobec Lesce Sencur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sencur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Sencur has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Sobec Lesce found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: Sobec Lesce remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sobec Lesce VS Sencur
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sobec Lesce

(Home)
03 Oct
Dob
3 : 0
Sobec Lesce
26 Sept
Sobec Lesce
2 : 3
Fama Vipava
19 Sept
Adria Miren
2 : 0
Sobec Lesce
12 Sept
Sobec Lesce
1 : 1
Litija
05 Sept
IB 1975 Ljubljana
4 : 1
Sobec Lesce
Page 1 of 7

Sencur

(Away)
03 Oct
Zidgrad Idrija
2 : 4
Sencur
26 Sept
Ljubljana Svoboda
0 : 1
Sencur
20 Sept
Sencur
3 : 0
Rudar Trbovlje
12 Sept
Izola
5 : 2
Sencur
04 Sept
Sencur
0 : 0
Ziri
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izola 8 8 0 0 36:5 24
2 Dob 8 6 1 1 21:6 19
3 Zidgrad Idrija 8 5 1 2 13:11 16
4 Tolmin 8 4 3 1 18:10 15
5 Sencur 8 4 3 1 17:11 15
6 Litija 8 4 2 2 15:7 14
7 Skofja Loka 8 3 3 2 15:17 12
8 Rudar Trbovlje 8 3 1 4 11:18 10
9 Adria Miren 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
10 IB 1975 Ljubljana 8 2 1 5 8:14 7
11 Ziri 8 1 4 3 8:12 7
12 Fama Vipava 8 2 0 6 13:34 6
13 Sobec Lesce 8 0 3 5 6:16 3
14 Ljubljana Svoboda 8 0 1 7 5:21 1
Promotion - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)