Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sobec Lesce vs Vrhnika

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 game between Sobec Lesce and Vrhnika finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vrhnika.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Sobec Lesce
30%
Draws
58%
Vrhnika
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vrhnika

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vrhnika come out ahead of Sobec Lesce on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Vrhnika taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sobec Lesce Clean Sheet 13%
Vrhnika Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sobec Lesce Vrhnika
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 18
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Vrhnika
1:5
Oct 25, 2025 3. SNL - West
Vrhnika vs Sobec Lesce
1:0
May 23, 2025 3. SNL - West
Vrhnika vs Sobec Lesce
1:1
Nov 9, 2024 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Vrhnika
0:1
Nov 18, 2023 3. SNL - West
Vrhnika vs Sobec Lesce
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sobec Lesce 11 / 100
Vrhnika 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sobec Lesce Vrhnika

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vrhnika Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sobec Lesce's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Vrhnika has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Sobec Lesce stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sobec Lesce VS Vrhnika
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sobec Lesce

(Home)
19 Sept
Adria Miren
2 : 0
Sobec Lesce
12 Sept
Sobec Lesce
1 : 1
Litija
05 Sept
IB 1975 Ljubljana
4 : 1
Sobec Lesce
29 Aug
Sobec Lesce
1 : 2
Zidgrad Idrija
23 Aug
Sobec Lesce
1 : 1
Ljubljana Svoboda
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Vrhnika

(Away)
19 Sept
Vrhnika
2 : 1
Primorje
12 Sept
Slovan Ljubljana
0 : 0
Vrhnika
04 Sept
Vrhnika
4 : 2
Rudar
29 Aug
Bistrica
2 : 0
Vrhnika
22 Aug
Vrhnika
2 : 0
Dravinja
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vrhnika 26 17 5 4 63:21 56
2 Sencur 26 16 6 4 46:27 54
3 Dob 26 15 5 6 54:29 50
4 Tolmin 26 14 3 9 47:33 45
5 Izola 26 12 6 8 53:39 42
6 Rudar Trbovlje 26 11 8 7 56:39 41
7 IB 1975 Ljubljana 26 11 3 12 35:44 36
8 Sobec Lesce 26 10 6 10 31:32 36
9 Skofja Loka 26 7 9 10 37:42 30
10 Ziri 26 7 6 13 30:52 27
11 Fama Vipava 26 6 8 12 28:42 26
12 Ljubljana Svoboda 26 6 5 15 30:51 23
13 Zidgrad Idrija 26 6 4 16 34:57 22
14 Bistrc 26 5 4 17 35:71 19
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)