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Sobou vs Tuanaimato

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

Oceania Club Championship 2005
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Sobou advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sobou
15%
Draws
85%
Tuanaimato
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tuanaimato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sobou come out ahead of Tuanaimato on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Tuanaimato taking it.
  • Sobou have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sobou, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sobou Clean Sheet 10%
Tuanaimato Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sobou Tuanaimato
Matches Played 8 5
Wins 2 1
Draws 0 1
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 1.5 0.8
Goals Conceded 5.13 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 2.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2005 OFC Champions League
Sobou vs Tuanaimato
2:0
Mar 4, 2005 OFC Champions League
Sobou vs Tuanaimato
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sobou 10 / 100
Tuanaimato 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sobou Tuanaimato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tuanaimato Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuanaimato let in goals in 100% of their last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Sobou's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 8 recent games.

Tuanaimato lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sobou VS Tuanaimato
1.5 Goals Scored 0.8
5.13 Goals Conceded 2.2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 60%
88% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Sobou

(Home)
14 May
Pirae
7 : 0
Sobou
10 May
Auckland City
7 : 0
Sobou
05 Jun
Auckland City
6 : 1
Sobou
02 Jun
Sobou
2 : 9
Sydney FC
31 May
Sobou
1 : 5
Pirae
Page 1 of 2

Tuanaimato

(Away)
10 Feb
Lotohaapai
1 : 1
Tuanaimato
08 Feb
Nokia Eagles
2 : 1
Tuanaimato
06 Feb
Nikao
1 : 2
Tuanaimato
06 Mar
Sobou
2 : 0
Tuanaimato
04 Mar
Sobou
5 : 0
Tuanaimato

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Nikao 1
Magenta 9
Sobou 7
Tuanaimato 0
Lotohaapai 1
Tafea 7
Ba 2
Makuru 8