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Sobradinho vs Capital

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2025
Sobradinho Logo

Sobradinho

1 - 1
FT
Capital Logo

Capital

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Matheuzinho
15' Event
Pipico
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Brasiliense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sobradinho
30%
Draws
37%
Capital
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Capital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Capital lately — more wins on the board than Sobradinho.
  • Win probability leans Capital's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Brasiliense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Sobradinho Clean Sheet 23%
Capital Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sobradinho Capital
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 15 16
Draws 9 11
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Brasiliense
Capital vs Sobradinho
2:3
Feb 1, 2025 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Capital
1:1
Mar 18, 2020 Brasiliense
Capital vs Sobradinho
4:0
Jan 27, 2019 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Capital
3:0
Jan 25, 2014 Brasiliense
Capital vs Sobradinho
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sobradinho Compare

Top Goalscorer Pipico
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Capital Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheuzinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sobradinho 16 / 100
Capital 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sobradinho Capital

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Sobradinho's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Capital conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.

Sobradinho went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sobradinho VS Capital
0 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sobradinho

(Home)
21 Mar
Gama
1 : 0
Sobradinho
15 Mar
Samambaia
0 : 1
Sobradinho
08 Mar
Sobradinho
0 : 0
Samambaia
28 Feb
Sobradinho
1 : 0
Brasilia FC (DF)
22 Feb
Samambaia
3 : 0
Sobradinho
Page 1 of 6

Capital

(Away)
12 Jul
Capital
1 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
04 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 0
Capital
27 Jun
Capital
4 : 0
Aparecidense
20 Jun
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Capital
07 Jun
Capital
2 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 9 7 1 1 15:4 22
2 Capital 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Ceilandia 9 6 1 2 12:8 19
4 Gama 9 5 2 2 7:4 17
5 Paranoa 9 5 0 4 13:11 15
6 Sobradinho 9 3 3 3 9:6 12
7 Samambaia 9 3 2 4 9:8 11
8 Real Brasilia 9 1 2 6 6:15 5
9 Ceilandense 9 1 2 6 8:18 5
10 Legiao 9 0 1 8 3:20 1
Promotion - Brasiliense 2025 (Play Offs)